Mumbai/ september 17th/03 45 HRS IST/
The sudden sharp fall in the indian pepper futures of usd 225 pmt and the huge amount of stocks which are going to loose validfity for delivery in the National commodity exchange in the next nine weeks with hardly any export orders and major exporters have sold their stocks in the exchange platform as they could sell their stocks usd 500 pmt above other origins in the international market is mounting pressure on the bulls . The market without any reason has been inflated by muscle and money power with totally wrong propaganda about shortage, biz happening at higher prices with india and new generation analysts who had not seen black pepper contradicting veterans in the trade with little or no information or contacts with any overseas markets has literally wiped the money off from retail and small traders with their very invaluable advices in the form of buy calls.
Indonesia the current threat for all other ASTA Black pepper sellers in the world giving no clue regarding their current years production, carry over from previous years and exports during the year and keep on pressing for orders for september and October is driving buyers away from the market who are on hand to mouth buying.Besides current years crop of 22000 mt the country was having an undeclared carryover stock of 25000- 28000 mt which is quitely being sold off by the Indonesian exporters is the reason why the anticipated squeeze and price rise has not come into play yet.For sept and October shipments Indonesian origin sellers are quoting usd 4100- 4125 fob panjang and Brazil Asta new crop is offered at usd 4300 fob Belem against the current indian price of usd 4500 pmt fob cochin . The strong indian rupee against usd is also making indian prices high in the International market. Vietnam who has been holding on to the levels of usd 4150 pmt for their 500 g/l has dropped the prices to usd 4050 pmt and 550 g/l prices from usd 4350 has been dropped to usd 4220 pmt fob cochin. Since white pepper prices are higher the ASTA sellers are not keen to sell as converting it into white is more rewarding monetary wise for them.
The markets will see life only towards end of november or early december when Indonesia and Brazil slowly retreats from agressive selling after sold enough for the year according to experts in Cochin and we will see prices declining in the coming weeks and the October futures are likely to test Rs 180/kg .
Jennifer Larive
Friday, September 17, 2010
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Pepper futures to crash more and India will come in line with International Market
Mumbai /15th Sept 2010 04 45 HRS
The Black pepper futures which were put astronomically high by speculators started falling as expected as the maturity of nearmonth september contract is approaching on next Monday.
The speculators whether they are bulls or bears have been playing with the market making the life of genuine pepper traders difficult making the national exchange platform an online casino without any mechanism to check the unfair play .
The government can close down the watchdog as they do not know how to regulate and control the exchange, said a past chairman of a regional bourse, before the entry of National Exchanges the FMC ( Forward Market Commission) used to suck the blood of the regional bourses inspite the bourses were run in a very systamatic manner, he added.
The pepper market in India has been media driven for quite sometime and the wrong informations which were conveyed to the innocent retail investors and general public by some vested interests who were inturn getting severly hurt these days according to our sources.
Even when a pound of pepper was not traded outside the country because of the price difference of usd 400- 500 pmt between indonesia and indian black pepper asta some of the media was giving false hope to many that indian pepper will be sought for exports because the stocks in Indonesia is exhausted and Vietnam finished selling and pepper will be available from that country only in Jan/Feb 2011.
But the fact is Vietnam has exported 7000 mt of pepper in the month of August also and Indonesia 4000 mt where as Indian imports was more than 1500 mt and the exports which included imported material was hardly 1000 mt.
United States of America, the worlds largest importer and user has imported 5630 mt of Black pepper and 602 mt White pepper and is a five year record imports and their total imports for the first seven months of the calendar year for Black pepper is 29,864 mt which again is a record and white pepper 3346 mt and thats the reason why even Indonesia and Brazil who are usd 400- 500 lower than India are not able to sell currently as the coverage by the importers in the United States is pretty decent and no rush is seen from importers to cover even 2011 first quarter.
The indian Black pepper futures is bought and kept by people who do not need a gram for their own use will have to sell off otherwise they will loose their shirt commented a veteran .
There is an old saying in Kerala from where most of the pepper is exported " unless the pepper crosses the seven seas dont play bullish for long otherwise you will be hurt badly".
Even when the British were ruling India the Queen of England got hurt playing with the Black Gold. The first eight months imports of pepper into the country has been 12000 mt where as the exports have been only hardly 10000 mt according to the trade and chamber of commerce so one should keep in mind most of the pepper exported out of the country is not indian origin because of the higher price tags of the country .
There is a potential that the market can drop another usd 200- 300 mt in the indian futures in the coming 6 weeks and india will be in the lime light again with its sterilised pepper for exports for the months of November/December and January 2011 according to the countries top exporter of pepper.
Jennifer La Rive
The Black pepper futures which were put astronomically high by speculators started falling as expected as the maturity of nearmonth september contract is approaching on next Monday.
The speculators whether they are bulls or bears have been playing with the market making the life of genuine pepper traders difficult making the national exchange platform an online casino without any mechanism to check the unfair play .
The government can close down the watchdog as they do not know how to regulate and control the exchange, said a past chairman of a regional bourse, before the entry of National Exchanges the FMC ( Forward Market Commission) used to suck the blood of the regional bourses inspite the bourses were run in a very systamatic manner, he added.
The pepper market in India has been media driven for quite sometime and the wrong informations which were conveyed to the innocent retail investors and general public by some vested interests who were inturn getting severly hurt these days according to our sources.
Even when a pound of pepper was not traded outside the country because of the price difference of usd 400- 500 pmt between indonesia and indian black pepper asta some of the media was giving false hope to many that indian pepper will be sought for exports because the stocks in Indonesia is exhausted and Vietnam finished selling and pepper will be available from that country only in Jan/Feb 2011.
But the fact is Vietnam has exported 7000 mt of pepper in the month of August also and Indonesia 4000 mt where as Indian imports was more than 1500 mt and the exports which included imported material was hardly 1000 mt.
United States of America, the worlds largest importer and user has imported 5630 mt of Black pepper and 602 mt White pepper and is a five year record imports and their total imports for the first seven months of the calendar year for Black pepper is 29,864 mt which again is a record and white pepper 3346 mt and thats the reason why even Indonesia and Brazil who are usd 400- 500 lower than India are not able to sell currently as the coverage by the importers in the United States is pretty decent and no rush is seen from importers to cover even 2011 first quarter.
The indian Black pepper futures is bought and kept by people who do not need a gram for their own use will have to sell off otherwise they will loose their shirt commented a veteran .
There is an old saying in Kerala from where most of the pepper is exported " unless the pepper crosses the seven seas dont play bullish for long otherwise you will be hurt badly".
Even when the British were ruling India the Queen of England got hurt playing with the Black Gold. The first eight months imports of pepper into the country has been 12000 mt where as the exports have been only hardly 10000 mt according to the trade and chamber of commerce so one should keep in mind most of the pepper exported out of the country is not indian origin because of the higher price tags of the country .
There is a potential that the market can drop another usd 200- 300 mt in the indian futures in the coming 6 weeks and india will be in the lime light again with its sterilised pepper for exports for the months of November/December and January 2011 according to the countries top exporter of pepper.
Jennifer La Rive
Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Retail Customers Run for Life as Funds Enter In a Big Way In Comexes
Mumbai/30th August 2010/05 00 HRS IST
Entry of funds in Comexes in a big way scares Retail customers as the financially mighty Fund Houses Push and Pull Markets and create Volatility throughout the trading hours even when there are no takers from Domestic Market and Exporters becoming Processors for funds for the rawmaterial either they procure currently or happy enough with the handsome profits they made in the last six months and some exporters have made more than 60% of their investments and winding down the operations waiting for the next oppurtunity when Several thousand tons of Pepper will be losing Validity in the Months of October and November which cannot be revalidated and at current prices reprocesing will be a nightmare as the carry between months is hardly 1%.
Reading stories everyother day in different Business dailies which are tailor made to suit the needs of certain sections and the TV channels trying to emphasize the news they carry is what the market is and it should head to the levels they predict is making Retail Customers most of the time in two minds and many have left the arena. What we see currently is not Pepper Business but the Tug of war between some whom we do not know really in a loose regulated working of Futures Market mechanism said a veteran in the export sector for more than five decades. We have been selling the pepper we have bben collecting to one company in Cochin who are into exports ina very bigway and very active in local business since last 20 years but we are surprised by the cold approach since last 3 months and the company is not buying a kilo of pepper saying no demand all the time; but we caanot understand if thats the case why the market has moved to Inr 210-220 levels for september contract said a trader in Nedumkandam one of the main centers in Idukki for black pepper and cardamom.
Many upcountry dealers have closed their activities on pepper and only a very few left in the field who just cannot the field for reasons of their own. If the regulator is not looking seriously into the way agricommodities are traded in the national Commodity exchanges they are going to have the same fate of regional exchanges commented an ex chairman of a regional commodity bourse. Everyone is trying to shoot the golden goose and trying to take all the golden eggs together he added.
A major section of the exporters feel that they will be back to Biz after the Ramdan or mid October latest whatever be the prices at that time because by that time the inventories availability from heavy mport purchases made in June and july for July and August shipments will be available in the Processing Hub Cochin for process and buyers who have been staying away for sometime will be back to fill in for Christmas and New year.
Anonymous
Entry of funds in Comexes in a big way scares Retail customers as the financially mighty Fund Houses Push and Pull Markets and create Volatility throughout the trading hours even when there are no takers from Domestic Market and Exporters becoming Processors for funds for the rawmaterial either they procure currently or happy enough with the handsome profits they made in the last six months and some exporters have made more than 60% of their investments and winding down the operations waiting for the next oppurtunity when Several thousand tons of Pepper will be losing Validity in the Months of October and November which cannot be revalidated and at current prices reprocesing will be a nightmare as the carry between months is hardly 1%.
Reading stories everyother day in different Business dailies which are tailor made to suit the needs of certain sections and the TV channels trying to emphasize the news they carry is what the market is and it should head to the levels they predict is making Retail Customers most of the time in two minds and many have left the arena. What we see currently is not Pepper Business but the Tug of war between some whom we do not know really in a loose regulated working of Futures Market mechanism said a veteran in the export sector for more than five decades. We have been selling the pepper we have bben collecting to one company in Cochin who are into exports ina very bigway and very active in local business since last 20 years but we are surprised by the cold approach since last 3 months and the company is not buying a kilo of pepper saying no demand all the time; but we caanot understand if thats the case why the market has moved to Inr 210-220 levels for september contract said a trader in Nedumkandam one of the main centers in Idukki for black pepper and cardamom.
Many upcountry dealers have closed their activities on pepper and only a very few left in the field who just cannot the field for reasons of their own. If the regulator is not looking seriously into the way agricommodities are traded in the national Commodity exchanges they are going to have the same fate of regional exchanges commented an ex chairman of a regional commodity bourse. Everyone is trying to shoot the golden goose and trying to take all the golden eggs together he added.
A major section of the exporters feel that they will be back to Biz after the Ramdan or mid October latest whatever be the prices at that time because by that time the inventories availability from heavy mport purchases made in June and july for July and August shipments will be available in the Processing Hub Cochin for process and buyers who have been staying away for sometime will be back to fill in for Christmas and New year.
Anonymous
Spot Pepper shortage taken care by Comex for September requirements and future prices crash
Kochi/27th August 2010/ 05 45 HRS IST Emmar Jay
The actual users who were confronted with almost nil supplies from farmers and local traders finally learned how to meet their requirement of pepper for immediate needs which they missed at 187/- a kg a fortnight ago by clicking the button of the computer and took home 1403 mt at 206 kg from the national comex in the nearmonth contract which matured on Friday the 20th August. The hue and cry of lack of supplies for some time is now over and in the coming months the stocks lying in the National Comexes will be over which was increasing every other week with indian pepper prices currently highest and outpriced in the world market since last 10 weeks . Throughout this year whenever there was an oppurtunity seen on arbitrage investors were buying exchange delivered Mg1 and the supply to the terminal market has been an issue as upcountry traders have become packers and suppliers to Investors which reduced the movement to the main terminal market Cochin. Another reason for the reduced or almost nil arrival is the lower prices published by the price publishing company IPSTA for sometime which was far from real traded prices and upcountry dealers deserting the terminal market market sources said.
Week 33 was an action packed week with Vietnam increasing the prices from usd 3700 fob Hcmc to usd 4050 fob hcmc for their most traded variety 500 g/l and Brazil increased the asking prices of their B1 variety from usd 3800 fob belem to usd 4100 fob Belem and indonesia increasing the asta prices from usd 4150 cnf Newyork to usd 4550 pmt and some shippers were completely withdrawn waiting for more arrivals to come before making further sales. Actually the Indonesian ASTA pepper sellers are very few and they have to take care of the entire crop as almost 90% ofthe crop is sold during the harvest season itself and exportes need cash to rotate stocks. Although the crop is only 22-25000 mt for Black pepper the huge carry over left behind them which is almost same as the crop of 2010 is said to be the reason why Indonesia has become the biggest ASTA grade pepper supplier since last 2 years and this will continue into 2011.The Vietnamese and Indian speculators are holding the Umbrella for the Indonesians to market their pepper comfortably rhis year too, we can understand Vietnam doing so with more than 100,000 mt pepper being out of the country in the first seven months and said to be having only 40,000 mt more and some say 20,000 mt and according to VPA its all over and they are surprised how their estimates went wrong which was very well arrived by a team of experts of VPA consisting of pioneers in the field such as
- KSS Vietnam Co,.Ltd
- Nedspice Vietnam Co,.Ltd
- Domesco JSC
- An Huy B.T Co,.Ltd
- Comco Co,.Ltd
- Maseco JSC
- Nam Viet Co,.Ltd
- Chu Se Pepper Association
-Olam Vietnam Co,.Ltd
- V.K.L Vietnam Co,.Ltd
source http://www.peppervietnam.com/en/news_detail.php?id=5340&id_groupN=32&id_catN=6
- Authorized provincial departments came to the conclusion , the average productivity of main provinces would be 20 – 25% less than previous year. So that the total output will be 90,000 MT ( 20% lower than last year)
Black pepper is in the hands of speculators in all origins and one can see heavy volatility in the physical markets there and in the futures market here and its advisable that retail investors should stay awat from the scene as there is no protection availabe as the market watchdog do not know how to regulate and control the futrues market and its high time the fmc is scrapped and the regulation should be handed over to SEBI otherwise the mechanism will be completely destroyed by misinformers and mighty titans who has no role to play in a commodity which they have not even seen.
Emmar Jay
The actual users who were confronted with almost nil supplies from farmers and local traders finally learned how to meet their requirement of pepper for immediate needs which they missed at 187/- a kg a fortnight ago by clicking the button of the computer and took home 1403 mt at 206 kg from the national comex in the nearmonth contract which matured on Friday the 20th August. The hue and cry of lack of supplies for some time is now over and in the coming months the stocks lying in the National Comexes will be over which was increasing every other week with indian pepper prices currently highest and outpriced in the world market since last 10 weeks . Throughout this year whenever there was an oppurtunity seen on arbitrage investors were buying exchange delivered Mg1 and the supply to the terminal market has been an issue as upcountry traders have become packers and suppliers to Investors which reduced the movement to the main terminal market Cochin. Another reason for the reduced or almost nil arrival is the lower prices published by the price publishing company IPSTA for sometime which was far from real traded prices and upcountry dealers deserting the terminal market market sources said.
Week 33 was an action packed week with Vietnam increasing the prices from usd 3700 fob Hcmc to usd 4050 fob hcmc for their most traded variety 500 g/l and Brazil increased the asking prices of their B1 variety from usd 3800 fob belem to usd 4100 fob Belem and indonesia increasing the asta prices from usd 4150 cnf Newyork to usd 4550 pmt and some shippers were completely withdrawn waiting for more arrivals to come before making further sales. Actually the Indonesian ASTA pepper sellers are very few and they have to take care of the entire crop as almost 90% ofthe crop is sold during the harvest season itself and exportes need cash to rotate stocks. Although the crop is only 22-25000 mt for Black pepper the huge carry over left behind them which is almost same as the crop of 2010 is said to be the reason why Indonesia has become the biggest ASTA grade pepper supplier since last 2 years and this will continue into 2011.The Vietnamese and Indian speculators are holding the Umbrella for the Indonesians to market their pepper comfortably rhis year too, we can understand Vietnam doing so with more than 100,000 mt pepper being out of the country in the first seven months and said to be having only 40,000 mt more and some say 20,000 mt and according to VPA its all over and they are surprised how their estimates went wrong which was very well arrived by a team of experts of VPA consisting of pioneers in the field such as
- KSS Vietnam Co,.Ltd
- Nedspice Vietnam Co,.Ltd
- Domesco JSC
- An Huy B.T Co,.Ltd
- Comco Co,.Ltd
- Maseco JSC
- Nam Viet Co,.Ltd
- Chu Se Pepper Association
-Olam Vietnam Co,.Ltd
- V.K.L Vietnam Co,.Ltd
source http://www.peppervietnam.com/en/news_detail.php?id=5340&id_groupN=32&id_catN=6
- Authorized provincial departments came to the conclusion , the average productivity of main provinces would be 20 – 25% less than previous year. So that the total output will be 90,000 MT ( 20% lower than last year)
Black pepper is in the hands of speculators in all origins and one can see heavy volatility in the physical markets there and in the futures market here and its advisable that retail investors should stay awat from the scene as there is no protection availabe as the market watchdog do not know how to regulate and control the futrues market and its high time the fmc is scrapped and the regulation should be handed over to SEBI otherwise the mechanism will be completely destroyed by misinformers and mighty titans who has no role to play in a commodity which they have not even seen.
Emmar Jay
Wednesday, August 18, 2010
Heavy Indian Buying Pushes Indonesian Pepper Prices up by usd 200 pmt
Sham Nair/19th August 2010 /04 45 HRS IST
Spectacular shopping by indian value added industries in Indonesia pushed the Indonesian ASTA Pepper prices from usd 3775 pmt fob panjang to usd usd 4050 pmt fob panjang in 72 hours surprised the USA and European buyers on Wednesday.
With Indian futures exchange suddenly exciting its players since Monday with big propaganda by the media that the country is suddenly having good demand from within the country and outside the country speculators came into play and raised the future delivery prices making holders of spot cargo happy as they had a chance to sell their holdings at a very high price which they missed in late july according to our industrial sources.
"I am astonished with the news like this" said a senior trader in a multinational company "how can India have export enquiries when its prices were outpriced by usd 350- 400 pmt compared to Brazil and Indonesian pepper and the selling centers were trading pepper much below the prices indicated in the terminal market Cochin. Its nothing but speculation let loose and uncontrolled by the market watch dog FMC" alleged the Wyanad Pepper Traders association. "Traders like us who have been making a living only on pepper trade for genrations cant do any biz and like farmer suicides you will know hear pepper trader suicide if the speculators are not properly controlled by the FMC" they said. "They are giving a privillege to handful few who had a super chance to cover their reqirements decently till the end of the year with the 120 days re export days adjusted very rightly with the timely purchases from other countries" .
In Vietnam local players were speculating on physical stocks along with two known Dutch companies who are spreading very bullish reports to have high priced sales for long strings for later positions according to our european trade sources and Indonesia has been an hindrance and they acted in Lampung market also picking up substantial quantities of asta rejections rechristened as Indoneian 500 g/l pepper and some good quantity asta along with indian value added industries making the indonesians rising their asking prices. Brazil is closely monitoring Indonesian activities and orchestrating their sales in a small way as the harvest has not gained momentom yet and Indonesian harvest will be over by the month end or early september. Sri lanka who sold as low as usd 3550 pmt has raised their prices to usd 3700 cfr cochin seeing the indian exchanges move..
Prices reported last night in newyork by various origins were India usd 4600 pmt c& f Indonesia usd 4250 pmt c% f Vietnam asta usd 4650 pmt c& f ( with limited sellers) Vietnam 500 gram 3970 fob hcmc vietnam 550 grams usd 4200 pmt Brazil B2 usd 3800 pmt Brazil B1 usd 3900 fob Belem and BASTA usd 4000 fob belem with no trades reported as USA buyers still on watch and wait mode and lately covering on big dips and keeping sidelined from markets and not carried away by the big moves in Vietnam and Brazil as they have Brazil and Indonesia as their most favoured sellers currently.
Spectacular shopping by indian value added industries in Indonesia pushed the Indonesian ASTA Pepper prices from usd 3775 pmt fob panjang to usd usd 4050 pmt fob panjang in 72 hours surprised the USA and European buyers on Wednesday.
With Indian futures exchange suddenly exciting its players since Monday with big propaganda by the media that the country is suddenly having good demand from within the country and outside the country speculators came into play and raised the future delivery prices making holders of spot cargo happy as they had a chance to sell their holdings at a very high price which they missed in late july according to our industrial sources.
"I am astonished with the news like this" said a senior trader in a multinational company "how can India have export enquiries when its prices were outpriced by usd 350- 400 pmt compared to Brazil and Indonesian pepper and the selling centers were trading pepper much below the prices indicated in the terminal market Cochin. Its nothing but speculation let loose and uncontrolled by the market watch dog FMC" alleged the Wyanad Pepper Traders association. "Traders like us who have been making a living only on pepper trade for genrations cant do any biz and like farmer suicides you will know hear pepper trader suicide if the speculators are not properly controlled by the FMC" they said. "They are giving a privillege to handful few who had a super chance to cover their reqirements decently till the end of the year with the 120 days re export days adjusted very rightly with the timely purchases from other countries" .
In Vietnam local players were speculating on physical stocks along with two known Dutch companies who are spreading very bullish reports to have high priced sales for long strings for later positions according to our european trade sources and Indonesia has been an hindrance and they acted in Lampung market also picking up substantial quantities of asta rejections rechristened as Indoneian 500 g/l pepper and some good quantity asta along with indian value added industries making the indonesians rising their asking prices. Brazil is closely monitoring Indonesian activities and orchestrating their sales in a small way as the harvest has not gained momentom yet and Indonesian harvest will be over by the month end or early september. Sri lanka who sold as low as usd 3550 pmt has raised their prices to usd 3700 cfr cochin seeing the indian exchanges move..
Prices reported last night in newyork by various origins were India usd 4600 pmt c& f Indonesia usd 4250 pmt c% f Vietnam asta usd 4650 pmt c& f ( with limited sellers) Vietnam 500 gram 3970 fob hcmc vietnam 550 grams usd 4200 pmt Brazil B2 usd 3800 pmt Brazil B1 usd 3900 fob Belem and BASTA usd 4000 fob belem with no trades reported as USA buyers still on watch and wait mode and lately covering on big dips and keeping sidelined from markets and not carried away by the big moves in Vietnam and Brazil as they have Brazil and Indonesia as their most favoured sellers currently.
Heavy Indian Buying Pushes Indonesian Pepper Prices up by usd 200 pmt
Sham Nair/19th August 2010 /04 45 HRS IST
Spectacular shopping by indian value added industries in Indonesia pushed the Indonesian ASTA Pepper prices from usd 3775 pmt fob panjang to usd usd 4050 pmt fob panjang in 72 hours surprised the USA and European buyers on Wednesday.
With Indian futures exchange suddenly exciting its players since Monday with big propaganda by the media that the country is suddenly having good demand from within the country and outside the country speculators came into play and raised the future delivery prices making holders of spot cargo happy as they had a chance to sell their holdings at a very high price which they missed in late july according to our industrial sources.
"I am astonished with the news like this" said a senior trader in a multinational company "how can India have export enquiries when its prices were outpriced by usd 350- 400 pmt compared to Brazil and Indonesian pepper and the selling centers were trading pepper much below the prices indicated in the terminal market Cochin. Its nothing but speculation let loose and uncontrolled by the market watch dog FMC" alleged the Wyanad Pepper Traders association. "Traders like us who have been making a living only on pepper trade for genrations cant do any biz and like farmer suicides you will know hear pepper trader suicide if the speculators are not properly controlled by the FMC" they said. "They are giving a privillege to handful few who had a super chance to cover their reqirements decently till the end of the year with the 120 days re export days adjusted very rightly with the timely purchases from other countries" .
In Vietnam local players were speculating on physical stocks along with two known Dutch companies who are spreading very bullish reports to have high priced sales for long strings for later positions according to our european trade sources and Indonesia has been an hindrance and they acted in Lampung market also picking up substantial quantities of asta rejections rechristened as Indoneian 500 g/l pepper and some good quantity asta along with indian value added industries making the indonesians rising their asking prices. Brazil is closely monitoring Indonesian activities and orchestrating their sales in a small way as the harvest has not gained momentom yet and Indonesian harvest will be over by the month end or early september. Sri lanka who sold as low as usd 3550 pmt has raised their prices to usd 3700 cfr cochin seeing the indian exchanges move..
Prices reported last night in newyork by various origins were India usd 4600 pmt c& f Indonesia usd 4250 pmt c% f Vietnam asta usd 4650 pmt c& f ( with limited sellers) Vietnam 500 gram 3970 fob hcmc vietnam 550 grams usd 4200 pmt Brazil B2 usd 3800 pmt Brazil B1 usd 3900 fob Belem and BASTA usd 4000 fob belem with no trades reported as USA buyers still on watch and wait mode and lately covering on big dips and keeping sidelined from markets and not carried away by the big moves in Vietnam and Brazil as they have Brazil and Indonesia as their most favoured sellers currently.
Spectacular shopping by indian value added industries in Indonesia pushed the Indonesian ASTA Pepper prices from usd 3775 pmt fob panjang to usd usd 4050 pmt fob panjang in 72 hours surprised the USA and European buyers on Wednesday.
With Indian futures exchange suddenly exciting its players since Monday with big propaganda by the media that the country is suddenly having good demand from within the country and outside the country speculators came into play and raised the future delivery prices making holders of spot cargo happy as they had a chance to sell their holdings at a very high price which they missed in late july according to our industrial sources.
"I am astonished with the news like this" said a senior trader in a multinational company "how can India have export enquiries when its prices were outpriced by usd 350- 400 pmt compared to Brazil and Indonesian pepper and the selling centers were trading pepper much below the prices indicated in the terminal market Cochin. Its nothing but speculation let loose and uncontrolled by the market watch dog FMC" alleged the Wyanad Pepper Traders association. "Traders like us who have been making a living only on pepper trade for genrations cant do any biz and like farmer suicides you will know hear pepper trader suicide if the speculators are not properly controlled by the FMC" they said. "They are giving a privillege to handful few who had a super chance to cover their reqirements decently till the end of the year with the 120 days re export days adjusted very rightly with the timely purchases from other countries" .
In Vietnam local players were speculating on physical stocks along with two known Dutch companies who are spreading very bullish reports to have high priced sales for long strings for later positions according to our european trade sources and Indonesia has been an hindrance and they acted in Lampung market also picking up substantial quantities of asta rejections rechristened as Indoneian 500 g/l pepper and some good quantity asta along with indian value added industries making the indonesians rising their asking prices. Brazil is closely monitoring Indonesian activities and orchestrating their sales in a small way as the harvest has not gained momentom yet and Indonesian harvest will be over by the month end or early september. Sri lanka who sold as low as usd 3550 pmt has raised their prices to usd 3700 cfr cochin seeing the indian exchanges move..
Prices reported last night in newyork by various origins were India usd 4600 pmt c& f Indonesia usd 4250 pmt c% f Vietnam asta usd 4650 pmt c& f ( with limited sellers) Vietnam 500 gram 3970 fob hcmc vietnam 550 grams usd 4200 pmt Brazil B2 usd 3800 pmt Brazil B1 usd 3900 fob Belem and BASTA usd 4000 fob belem with no trades reported as USA buyers still on watch and wait mode and lately covering on big dips and keeping sidelined from markets and not carried away by the big moves in Vietnam and Brazil as they have Brazil and Indonesia as their most favoured sellers currently.
Monday, August 16, 2010
Indian Pepper remains outpriced but imports surge
Indian Pepper remains outpriced but imports surge
2010/08/16
Kochi/16 th August 2010
Indian Black pepper continue to remain out priced in the international market thanks to the heavy consumption in the domestic market of the spice and infact the country barely produces what it needs and there are no exportable surplus this year according to veterans in the trade. "We expected this scenario earlier this year and began focussing our attention on the domestic front rather than exports" commented the head of a leading Black Pepper exporter who didnt want to divulge his name.
According to the statistics of Chamber of Commerce the country has exported 5,500 mt of the spice in the first four months of the financial year but the import figures were quite alarming which was close to 7,500 mt which means in short, the exporters are not using indian origin Black pepper at all, allowing the domestic prices not to flare up beyond a certain level.
"Although the country has imported 7500 mt in the first four months and more to come till the end of the year I do not think all the pepper we imported are heavy berries used by the grinding industry and possibly 40% of it may be by the grinding industry and rest by the oil and oleoresin industry" said Mr Jojan Malayil of Bafna Enterprises the countrys largest exporter of Indian origin Black pepper. "But the alarming side of it is that we are jobless for almost 9 months in an year and are at the mercy of operators in the national Commodity Exchanges and, new generation experts who give buy and sell calls based on charts" he added. The genuine traditional pepper guys are out of the system said a dealer from Adimaly who is uno of the Kerala pepper supply chain.
With IPC becoming a laughing stock in the past years the new Secretary General is on damage control according to our informations and is trying to put a stop to the nonsensical statistics on carry over, production and exports and balance available crop in producing origins especially in Indonesia and Vietnam who have been misleading the pepper people since last 3 years .
With harvests getting to its peak in Indonesia the prices from there has been dropped to usd 3800 fob Panjang and Brazil where harvest is almost round the corner in the main producing area Para these countries are vying for export orders as cash has become King . The prices from Brazil varies from shipper to shipper and agents from agents. The european claims they have offers of ASTA at USD 3900 fob Belem for August/September shipments the USA Brokers say the lowest they have is usd 4000 pmt but the main broker in Brazil says its all nonesense and may be you can buy at usd 4000 fob Belem but there is no guarantee that it will be shipped if the market is not in the favour of the shipper and one should take nomianl prices of ASTA at usd 4100 pmt fob Belem although there are no buyers at this Juncture.
Mother India the controller and wave setter of prices in the Globe is currently quoting usd 4250 pmt fob cochin for Mg 1 ASTA where as Indonesian ASTA is finding it difficult to find a home today at usd 3800 fob Panjang. Vietnam 500 g/l prices remained strady at usd 3700 pmt fob HCMC during the week and same is the case with ASTA prices which was hovering around usd 4200 pmt fob HCMC. With Bears pressing the markets down in India based on international news, the Indian market is somewhat holding ground with its huge domestic requirement and prices seems to settle between the Rs 180- 185 range for the next four weeks.
Sham Nair
2010/08/16
Kochi/16 th August 2010
Indian Black pepper continue to remain out priced in the international market thanks to the heavy consumption in the domestic market of the spice and infact the country barely produces what it needs and there are no exportable surplus this year according to veterans in the trade. "We expected this scenario earlier this year and began focussing our attention on the domestic front rather than exports" commented the head of a leading Black Pepper exporter who didnt want to divulge his name.
According to the statistics of Chamber of Commerce the country has exported 5,500 mt of the spice in the first four months of the financial year but the import figures were quite alarming which was close to 7,500 mt which means in short, the exporters are not using indian origin Black pepper at all, allowing the domestic prices not to flare up beyond a certain level.
"Although the country has imported 7500 mt in the first four months and more to come till the end of the year I do not think all the pepper we imported are heavy berries used by the grinding industry and possibly 40% of it may be by the grinding industry and rest by the oil and oleoresin industry" said Mr Jojan Malayil of Bafna Enterprises the countrys largest exporter of Indian origin Black pepper. "But the alarming side of it is that we are jobless for almost 9 months in an year and are at the mercy of operators in the national Commodity Exchanges and, new generation experts who give buy and sell calls based on charts" he added. The genuine traditional pepper guys are out of the system said a dealer from Adimaly who is uno of the Kerala pepper supply chain.
With IPC becoming a laughing stock in the past years the new Secretary General is on damage control according to our informations and is trying to put a stop to the nonsensical statistics on carry over, production and exports and balance available crop in producing origins especially in Indonesia and Vietnam who have been misleading the pepper people since last 3 years .
With harvests getting to its peak in Indonesia the prices from there has been dropped to usd 3800 fob Panjang and Brazil where harvest is almost round the corner in the main producing area Para these countries are vying for export orders as cash has become King . The prices from Brazil varies from shipper to shipper and agents from agents. The european claims they have offers of ASTA at USD 3900 fob Belem for August/September shipments the USA Brokers say the lowest they have is usd 4000 pmt but the main broker in Brazil says its all nonesense and may be you can buy at usd 4000 fob Belem but there is no guarantee that it will be shipped if the market is not in the favour of the shipper and one should take nomianl prices of ASTA at usd 4100 pmt fob Belem although there are no buyers at this Juncture.
Mother India the controller and wave setter of prices in the Globe is currently quoting usd 4250 pmt fob cochin for Mg 1 ASTA where as Indonesian ASTA is finding it difficult to find a home today at usd 3800 fob Panjang. Vietnam 500 g/l prices remained strady at usd 3700 pmt fob HCMC during the week and same is the case with ASTA prices which was hovering around usd 4200 pmt fob HCMC. With Bears pressing the markets down in India based on international news, the Indian market is somewhat holding ground with its huge domestic requirement and prices seems to settle between the Rs 180- 185 range for the next four weeks.
Sham Nair
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