Monday, November 15, 2021

VIETNAM PEPPER & SPICES MARKET UPDATE – WEEK 45

 


VIETNAM PEPPER EXPORTS FROM JANUARY TO OCTOBER 2021


According to the General Department of Vietnam Customs, in October 2021, Vietnam exported 16,759 tons, with a turnover of 72.6 million USD.
Compared to September, export volume increased by 9.3%, turnover increased by 17.3%


Country          Quantity (MT)                  Value (USD)

America                        3,943                 $‎ 17,979,981

Germany                       1,080                 $‎   5,324,664

U.A.E.                            1,031                  $‎    4,116,715

Netherlands                    980                   $‎    4,451,531

Philippine                        662                  $‎    2,395,217

Korea                               613                   $‎    2,754,986

China                               546                   $‎    1,906,815

Egypt                               532                   $‎    2,319,704 

England                           498                  $‎    2,086,002

France                             479                   $‎     2,139,403

Others                           6,393                  $‎  27,090,446

TOTAL                      16,757                $‎  72,565,460


COMPARATIVE EXPORTS IN TON OF THE FIRST 10 MONTHS OF THE YEAR


Continent      JAN-OCT 2019      JAN-OCT 2020      JAN-OCT 2021

AFRICA                        8,884                     9,189                    6,290

AMERICA                   46,026                   50,284                  54,967

ASIA                          144,299                126,376                 115,757

OCEANIA                      3,141                     3,683                    4,440

EUROPE                     44,997                   45,990                  48,135

TOTAL                   247,347                235,522             229,580


EUROPE

In the European region, imports increased by 3.9%, lead by the German market: 10,310 tons, up 9%; Netherlands 8,164 tons, up 27.8%; UK: 5,043 tons, up 8.8%, France: 4,756 tons, up 27.9%... 

Imports decreased in Russia, Poland, Ukraine, Israel..

COMPARATIVE EXPORTS IN TON OF THE FIRST 10 MONTHS OF THE YEAR

Country    JAN-OCT 2019    JAN-OCT 2020    JAN-OCT 2021                 

Germany                  9,605                     9,463                   10,310

Netherlands            6,932                      6,390                     8,164

England                   3,982                       4,636                     5,043

France                     2,668                       3,718                     4,756

Russia                     4,936                       5,062                     4,727

Ireland                      6,043                       4,519                    4,132

Spain                        2,174                       2,354                     2,503

Poland                      2,403                       2,871                     2,104

Ukraina                    1,686                        1,592                     1,366

Italy                              823                           755                        876

Others                      3,572                         4,144                    3,979

TOTAL                    44,824                        45,504                 47,960


AMERICAS

Imports of the Americas increased by 8.9%, of which the US was the largest importer of Vietnam's pepper with 50,939 tons, up 8.9% over the same period. 

Exports increased sharply in the markets of Canada, El Salvador, Dominica, Venezuela…and decreased in Mexico


COMPARATIVE EXPORTS IN TON OF THE FIRST 10 MONTHS OF THE YEAR

Country    JAN-OCT 2019    JAN-OCT 2020    JAN-OCT 2021

USA                        43,102                  46,765                    50,939

Canada                    2,248                     2,303                      2,837

Mexico                        447                        866                         638

El Salvador                121                        134                          298

Guatemala                 108                         216                          255

Jamaica                     173                         486                          175

TOTAL                   46,199                    50,770                     55,142


ASIA

In Asia, imports decreased by 9.7%, of which China's imports decreased by 16.5% to 37,283 tons. 
Imports of Saudi Arabia increased sharply by 35% to 14,610 tons and continued to be Vietnam's second largest pepper import market in Asia. India's imports 11,382 tons, up 1.2%; Pakistan: 9,877 tons, up 8.5%; Korea: 5,417 tons, up 7.7%, ... 

Import markets decreased: Thailand, Japan, Myanmar, ..

COMPARATIVE EXPORTS IN TON OF THE FIRST 10 MONTHS OF THE YEAR

Country    JAN-OCT 2019    JAN-OCT 2020    JAN-OCT 2021 

China                      54,649                  44,674                    37,283

U.A.E                         9,478                  10,825                    14,610

India                        17,785                   11,251                    11,382

Pakistan                   9,389                     9,100                      9,877

Korea                        4,093                     5,028                      5,417

Philippine                 4,947                     5,598                      5,371

Thailand                   6,161                      4,600                      3,890

Iran                            5,187                      3,320                      3,759

Turkey                       4,801                      3,073                      3,648

Japan                        2,616                      3,055                      2,872

Others                     18,734                    18,076                    12,411

TOTAL                   137,840                   118,600                  110,520


AFRICA

The African region's imports decreased by 31%, of which Egypt decreased by 32.7% to 5,237 tons. Imports also decreased in South Africa, Senegal, Gambia, Tunisia, Sudan, etc.

COMPARATIVE EXPORTS IN TON OF THE FIRST 10 MONTHS OF THE YEAR

Country    JAN-OCT 2019    JAN-OCT 2020    JAN-OCT 2021


Egypt                        6,459                      7,776                   5,237

South Africa         2,702                       2,630                  2,410

Senegal                    2,901                       2,279                  1,261

Gambia                        807                       1,103                     896

Tunisia                         435                          491                     364

Others                       2,039                       2,686                  1,359

TOTAL                     15,343                      16,965                11,527


MARKET & PRICE TRENDS


Price continued to have downward corrections during this week with a corresponding decrease of nearly 2%. Here the reasons why: 

1- There is a large domestic company that is trying to drive the market by selling lower prices on the market but immediately buying in larger quantities in the past week for November and December shipment through different dealers/ traders. (sell cheaper prices for small quantities but buy bigger quantities at market price). This has also caused a bearish correction

2- Financial being tight and cash flow when coffee crop is in main season. Dealers' priority is to do the coffee business when the current market is very attractive. Exporting manufacturers also sell inventory to increase the temporary budget when export cash flow is very slow due to congestion and shipping cargo longer than usual

3- In addition, Domestic speculation has taken profits during the past time. This also causes the carry over 2021 to become less, while the export volume in November & December is expected to be around 25 - 30,000 tons

4- The Vietnamese dong is still trending and the appreciation against the USD also makes the converted pepper price more expensive.

SUMMARIZING

Demand for pepper continues to be active in the US and EU markets both prompt and further shipment in Q1 & Q2/2022.

China continues to cover very slowly and it is possible that the import volume of pepper from China will be the lowest in the past 3 years, although the information we have received, the stock in China decreased rapidly in recent times.

End of December some small quantities will be available on the market. However, it will be very limited in December & January 2022. The pepper crop in 2022 continues to be delayed compared to previous years and it is forecasted that the main harvest will only be in March & April 2022













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