BLACK GOLD SHINNIG AGAIN

Black Gold which was neglected and depressed by recession news and macro economic news in the last 5 working days have become the center of attraction once again.

With Vietnam selling off almost everything in the first seven months of the year fearing National Commodity Exchange ( Ncdex) who have taken their trousers off last year did not wait for higher prices sold almost everything they have and now bewildered.
Indonesia who were almost spoiling the party for second half of the year suddenly came to their senses and increased the asking prices very close to Indiam levels.

Malayasia has become an importer of both black and white pepper from Vietnam quitely and marketing as Sarawak Black and Sarawak white to their predominant markets like Japan ,Korea and Taiwan was totally keeping away from major consuming markets like USA and European Union..
India the traditional cheer leader for the first time has become a follower of Vietnam this year and now took the lead in exciting global pepper cultivators, traders and speculators keeping aside pepper exporters and traditional pepper traders always complaining about the poor and backbone less regulator of futures trading FMC..

They just don't know whats the literal meaning of regulation according to Keralla farmers and traders of black pepper.and have made the  national exchange a gamblers den and money laundering platform.
According to Ms Yuliani of Putrabali Indonesia every origin has become manipulators and it has become impossible to do any business these days although markets have moved up quite a bit..

When contacted All India Spices Exporters forum vice chairman and the largest exporter of Indian pepper was kind enough to give us his estimate of stocks lying in different origins before the next new crops of India and Vietnam:
Indonesia exportable 5000 mt; Vietnam 40000 mt against just 15000 mt as claimed by some section of the media; 25000 mt from Brazil and 5000 mt from India which includes 2000 mt lying in the national exchanges and balance with farmers/traders.
The stocks of exporters cannot be taken as it is already sold in the national exchanges because of the attractive prices at which you can sell only in India and nowhere in the world.

Current prices of Asta pepper in different origins

Brazil 2700 fob belem
Indonesia usd 2850 fob Panjang
Vietnam usd 3050- 3100 fob hcmc
India Mg-1 asta usd 3050- 3100 fob Cochin
Sarawak Asta usd 3200 fob kuching

Think twice before you leap as some major players feel that it is overdone and not much to the north as industries are taken care by global traders and its their patience which has to be tested and not the industries

Rgds
La Rive

INDIA TODAY AUG 3rd

Pepper continues to move very very firm here in India with prices zooming ahead, International pairity pegged further higher as $ is weak again. Prices finishing off the day almost on the its highs at around + 2.5 to 2.75 % than the previous day. The movements of other spice agri futures were seen with similar patterns hinting at more and more outside participation. These influences were extremely supportive and perhaps sparking off some huge short covering too.
Analysts and traders continued to remain bullish on pepper as inventories remain tight with a lot of buying to be completed, fundamentals for spot pepper remained the same with supply extremely tight although the speed of the surge much faster on the future deliveries than on  spot.
Indian MG I ASTA grade parity at $ 2900 PMT FOB Cochin.

We are on Twitter now

Follow us on Twitter Peppertrade.
Short and Fast market News & Tips

Access and follow

Peppertrade Editor

DUBAI

For those who are going to visit Dubai for the first time, check this out...
Usefull tips, where to stay, nice pictures, maps, etc etc...
http://www.peppertrade.com.br/DUBAI-1.htm

Dumping pepper into domestic market a false propaganda

Dumping of imported Pepper into domestic market is a false propaganda to buy pepper at lower prices by a section of the trade shouldn't be taken seriously at all.

The country has imported 6700 mt of Black pepper in the first 6 months comprising of 3000 mt for value added grinding and sterilization and 3700 mt for oil and oleoresin extraction.
The average import is only 500 mt a month and in a market where there is a very tight supply situation and squeeze and prices expected to pick up from august and hit Rs 150/- kg it is senseless to dump this meager quantity into domestic market to depress prices.
The country which is consuming 50000 mt of black pepper every year ( about 4175 mt a month) according to some expert statisticians should have the minimum common sense that even if the entire 3000 mt is dumped by all importers the local prices are not going to be affected as the quantity is very meager to depress prices.

Dumping news is so far emanating only from one source all these days and it is a false news to scare growers and traders and buy pepper at cheaper prices according to major export firms.

With the inside news of disparity between India and Indonesia narrowing down and Vietnam slowly fading out of the Global Pepper scenario it was the move from some unethical traders propagating dumping of imported pepper into domestic market to depress prices and this news should be completely ignored according to All India Spice Exporters forum Vice chairman Mr. Jojan Malayil. Mr Malayil added that farmers/traders should sell only when they need money that badly as the Importing countries coverage is naked for the last quarter and India will get a chance to sell its balance pepper at premium prices.

Current prices in other origin are as follows : Brazil Asta usd 2350 fob Belem Indonesia Asta usd 2550-2600 fob panjang Vietnam asta usd 2600-2650 fob Hcmc and Indian mg-1 asta usd 2750-2800 pmt fob cochin

Rgds
La Rive

PEPPER

24/7/2009
PEPPER ORIGIN HAS INCREASED AND SELLERS ARE NOT AGGRESIVE AS TWO WEEKS AGO.

WE NEED MORE PEOPLE LIKE YOU TO SUPPORT THE MARKET
WERE DEMAND INACTIVE FOR PAST TWO MONTHS BUT SELLER VERY CONFIDENCE
BUYER WILL PICK UP IN THE COMING DAYS AND WILL REMAIN FOR NEXT TW0 - THREE MONTHS STOCKS NEED IT. AS WE SEEING STOCKS ARE VERY MUCH LOW.

INTERNATIONAL SCENARIO,VIETNAM HAS SOLD OUT ALMOST 60 - 70 % OF PEPPER.
INDONESIA MOVED UP BY ALMOST $ 200/MT NOW DUE TO CROP FINISH WITH LEFT
CROP LIMITED AND LOCAL CURRENCY STRENGHT AGAIN US DOLLAR.

I FEEL PEPPER PRICES LOOKS LIKE MOVING UP IN THE COMING DAYS SOON.

THANKS AND BEST REGARDS,
JAMES HADINATA

STRONG DOMESTIC DEMAND, TIGHT SUPPLY POSITION KEEPS INDIAN READY PEPPER MKT HOT

STRONG DOMESTIC DEMAND, TIGHT SUPPLY POSITION KEEPS INDIAN READY PEPPER MKT HOT
2009/06/01


G K Nair
Kochi, May 31
Strong domestic demand and tight supply position is keeping the spot black pepper prices in India above the June delivery prices of the
exchanges.
Spot price of MG1 was at Rs12,600 a quintal (100 -kg) at the weekend close on Saturday where as the June delivery price at the weekend close was Rs12,320 a quintal.
Availability is said to be very thin.
Domestic buyers from north Indian markets were meeting their requirements by direct purchases from the Coorg Region of Karnataka state where from the material is moved out at Rs125 -127 a Kg to anywhere in India. Similarly, the dealers in Tamil Nadu state was buying from Kerala's Idukki region.
Sharp fall in output in 2008 crop and great domestic demand outweighing the indigenous output would pave the way for increased imports in the coming months as the prices in other origins continued to remain far below than that of the Indian parity. Growers fear that black pepper imported under advance licence for value addition and re-export might enter the domestic market to depress the internal
Meanwhile, Indian futures market during the week witnessed high volatility mainly due to manipulations by the operators who have been pushing up and pulling down the prices under the guise of speculation. Consequently, in fact, the market is shrouded by uncertainty. “In fact, the prices were oscillating up and down without any rime or reason and also without any o-relation to the fundamentals, trading sources told Brazilian Pepper Trade Board. “It is not at all a healthy sign. Real hedgers, be it exporter or domestic dealer, will move out from the market. Similarly, small and medium players are also compelled to go out. Investors are also not coming forward as there is no spot pepper”, they said. “If gambling and manipulation just to make money by a section under the guise of speculation is allowed then futures trading will have no meaning and it will work against the purpose for which it has been introduced”, they pointed out.
All the contracts on the main exchange dropped during the week.
The fall was from Rs264 to Rs342 a quintal at the week end close. June delivery closeted at 12,320 on Saturday.Spot prices also fell by Rs200 a quintal during the week to close at
Rs12,100 (un-garbled) and Rs12,600 (MG 1) a quintal.

INT´L MARKET
Indian parity at the international market ruled above all other origins at $2,650 a tonne (c&f).
Prices of various origins quoted c&f New York in US $ per tonne were MG1 Asta -$2,700-$2,775; Lampong Asta - $2,450; Vietnam Asta -$2,375-$2,400; Brazil Asta - $2,350 fob (nominal parity)
Vietnam white pepper was offered at $3,300-$3,350 and Muntok white pepper at $4,050-4,100 a tonne (c&f).

IPC REPORT
According to the International Pepper Community (IPC) the black pepper market watched on the development in Vietnam as material from this year's crop has entered the market.Local prices at HCMC were down marginally, but fob prices were stable at $1,875 a tonne for 500 GL and $1,990 a tonne for 550 GL. In Lampung, Sarawak and Sri Lanka,
prices were reported up.

WHITE PEPPER
In Bangka, local price eased marginally, by 1 per cent to IDR 36,250 a kg. In Sarawak, prices were up by 2 per cent both for local and fob.
In Vietnam, prices of white pepper were reported stable.