Wednesday, March 25, 2020

IPC MARKET REVIEW - February 2020



PRICE HISTORY

As the outbreak of Corona Virus continued affecting around 109 countries all over the world with a death toll reaching 3,831 cases (as of 09 March), pepper price index for the 2th month of 2020 was reported with a negative outlook. The price index of black pepper for February was reported with a major decrease of 11.4% as compared with the previous month at 30.30 point (Table 1). In addition, when compared with February 2019, the price index of black pepper experienced 7% loss. Following the same trend, the price index of white pepper for February 2020 was also reported with a significant decrease as it recorded a 6.9% decrease as compared with previous month at 32.36 point. In comparison with the same period in 2019, the price index of white pepper experienced a more significant decrease by 13%.


In the 2th month of 2020, the composite price for both black and white pepper was reported with a negative outlook. Composite price of black pepper in February was reported at USD 2,254 per Mt, recording USD 290 per Mt loss as compared with January. Aligned with composite price of black pepper, composite price of white pepper was also reported with a rather significant loss as it dropped to USD 3,349 per Mt. Thus, recording USD 249 per Mt loss as compared with the previous month.


Pepper prices in the 2nd month of 2020, showed a negative outlook with Viet Nam origin recorded the highest decrease as opposed to the previous month. The farm gate price of black pepper in India was reported with a decrease by 3% as opposed to January, averaging at USD 4,390 per Mt (Table 3). In the local currency farm gate price of India black pepper was traded at an average of INR 313 per Kg. The decrease of India black pepper price could be contributed to the harvest season currently in full swing as well as the depreciation of Indian Rupee against US Dollar.

The price of black pepper in Indonesia (Lampung black pepper) was reported with a decrease by 3% as opposed to the previous month, averaging at of USD 1,742 per Mt. The decrease of Indonesia black pepper could be contributed to the sluggish demand and the weakening of Indonesia's local currency against the US Dollar (IDR 13,776 for USD 1). In local currency, the price of Indonesia black pepper decreased to an average of IDR 24,000 per Kg from IDR 24,614 per Kg

In February 2020, the farm gate price of Malaysia's black pepper was reported with a decrease by 4% as compared to the previous month, averaging at USD 1,800 per Mt. The decrease of Malaysia black pepper could be contributed to the decrease of pepper price in local currency and the weakening of Malaysia's local currency against the US Dollar (MYR 4.16 for USD 1) or a depreciation by 2% when compared with the January. In local currency, the price of Malaysia black pepper decreased to an average of MYR 7,490 per Kg from MYR 7,621 per Kg.

Furthermore, farm gate price of black pepper in Viet Nam was reported to have decreased by 6% as opposed to January averaging at USD 1,613 per Mt. The decrease of Viet Nam black pepper price could be contributed to the harvest season currently in full swing. In local currency, the price of Viet Nam black pepper decreased to an average of VND 38,500 per Kg from VND 40,875 per Kg.

Sri Lanka black pepper was reported with a staggering 11% deficit as opposed to January and was reported at an average of USD 2,931 per Mt. The decrease of Sri Lanka black pepper could be contributed to sufficient stock following end of harvest in January. In local currency, the price of Sri Lanka black pepper decreased to an average of LKR 531.92 per Kg from LKR 586.72 per Kg.

BLACK PEPPER
FOB price of black pepper for February 2020 also showed a negative outlook with only Malaysia origin was reported stable. India was reported with the same 3% decrease when compared to the January, averaging at USD 4,670 per Mt (Table 4). Furthermore, the FOB price of black pepper in Indonesia was also reported with a decrease by 2% as opposed to January, averaging at USD 2,161 per Mt. FOB price of Malaysian black pepper was reported stable at an average of USD 3,685 per Mt. Furthermore, FOB price of Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l and 550 g/l were reported with a significant decrease by 16% and 14% respectively as compared to the previous month at an average of USD 1,964 per Mt and USD 2,060 per Mt respectively.

WHITE PEPPER
Farm gate prices of white pepper in February 2020 also showed a negative outlook (Table 5) as only Indonesia origin was reported stable. Indonesia Muntok white pepper was reported stable at average of USD 3,122 per Mt. In local currency, the price of Muntok white pepper was reported at an average of IDR 43,000 per Kg. Farm gate price of Malaysia white pepper was reported with a decrease by 3% as opposed to January at an average of USD 3,211 per Mt. Furthermore, Viet Nam white pepper was reported with a significant decrease by 8% when compare to the previous month, averaging at USD 2,409 per Mt. China market continued to be reported inactive in February as no business took place due to the outbreak of Corona Virus.


FOB price of white pepper showed a rather stable outlook with only Viet Nam origin was reported with a decrease. FOB price of Indonesia white pepper for February 2020 was reported stable, averaging at USD 3,716 per Mt. Furthermore, FOB price of Malaysia white pepper continued to be reported stable and unchanged. Whilst, FOB price of Viet Nam white pepper was reported with a significant dropped of 12% at an average of USD 3,069 per Mt .








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2 comments:

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