Showing posts with label bullish. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bullish. Show all posts

Friday, June 05, 2020

INDIAN PEPPER PRICES MAY MOVE UP ON GLOBAL TREND


 June 05, 2020

 China’s increased buying has pushed up the global pepper prices, especially in Vietnam and Indonesia, while the rates in India have seen only a marginal improvement. Domestic growers, who have not benefited from the global price trend are hoping to see higher realisations on the anticipated pick-up in demand with the easing of the lockdown.

Prices have registered double-digit increases in Vietnam and Indonesia over the past one month, while in India it went up by 1.8 per cent. According to the International Pepper Community, Vietnam prices rose 18.54 per cent at $2621 per tonne on June 4 from $2211 in May 4. Likewise, Indonesian prices also posted 14.12 per cent increase from $2088 to $2383. However, Indian prices witnessed only a marginal rise at 1.8 per cent from $4,354 to $4,434. “So far, the Indian growers have not really benefited from the recent global price rise. However, we are hoping that prices would move up in the next few weeks with a likely pick-up in demand from North India after the easing of lockdown,” said MC Kariappa, Chairman of Kodagu Planters Association. Farm gate prices have moved up from around ₹290-300 levels two months ago to around ₹315-317 per kg.

High production cost

Kishore Shamji, Coordinator of Indian Pepper, Spice Traders, Growers Consortium-Kerala Chapter, said the Indian prices, which is hovering above $4,000, is already on the higher side due to high domestic demand equivalent to production. The higher prices have benefited farmers, but the high production cost is posing a problem. The cost of production can be reduced by improving productivity.

India is expecting 60,000 tonnes of production as against 55,000 tonnes last year. It is the intrinsic value of Indian pepper that brought selected buyers from the US, Canada, and Europe, who have special preference for Malabar Black Pepper or Tellicherry Garbled Extra Bold or Malabar Tellicherry Special Extra Bold, he added.

“It cannot be said that the prices of low quality pepper are rising in the international market. The prices that have dropped to $1,800 are now recovering as China becomes active and starts buying as much as the US does,” Shamji said.
However, the high piperine content of Sri Lankan pepper, which is above 10 per cent, has made the commodity from the island nation a preferred choice for the spices extraction industry after paying a premium price.

Price rise in Vietnam

Prakash Namboothiri, former president of All India Spices Exporters Forum, noted that the Vietnam pepper prices have witnessed a spike due to high buying from China and other markets because of a jump in business activities in the post-Covid situation. The Indian prices are already at 50-60 per cent higher levels than Vietnam. However, there has been a decent pick-up in Indian prices in the last couple of days.
According to him, the global pepper market last week saw some fluctuations as some speculators booked profits when the price has reached the expectation. However, the price has still increased 13.4 per cent within a week from May 25 to 31. Indian prices when compared to other origins are already 50-60 per cent higher to similar grades. India needs to work on reducing the cost of production to ensure the farmers to make more profits which should be the end benefit, he said.

Rosy outlook

An expert in the pepper sector said the absence of a domestic market has forced farmers in Vietnam and Indonesia to depend on international markets for sale at cheaper prices. The market for Indian pepper is mainly dependent on domestic demand, which is always constant. Since Indian prices are on the higher side, international buyers look for low-priced pepper. The pick-up in domestic demand is also likely to result in the inflow of pepper from countries such as Nepal and Sri Lanka.

However, the future of spices looks rosy as commodities such as pepper, ginger, and turmeric find application in immune therapy.




V Sajeev Kumar/Vishwanath Kulkarni Kochi/Bengaluru
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/

Monday, May 25, 2020

VIETNAM - PEPPER MARKET UPDATE 25TH MAY - WEEK 22 - TREND IS UP



Pepper market has continuously increased this month from VND 38,000 in early May to VND 48,500 at the present. Price increase was up to 28% within 25 days and up from the bottom of 35.5% (VND 34,500) within 2 months. A jump in prices is beyond the expectation of almost all pepper producers and exporters not only in Vietnam but also worldwide. The market increased last time mainly due to the following reasons;
- After lock down due to the Covid-19 epidemic, Chinese customers returned to buy both black and white pepper in huge quantities (March and April bought above 20.000 tones and May is around above 10.000 metric tones) . In particular, white pepper is being bought by many and continuously.
- Pepper was low level and is considered to have been at the bottom already (VND 34,500 - 1,510$), so many speculators actively bought huge quantities of stock. This also contributed significantly to the price increase last time.
- Due to the Covid - 19, some countries producing and exporting pepper have been continuously restricted as harvesting, processing, freight forwarding, logistic service. This also makes pepper sometimes suddenly shortage in each different time.
- At low prices and a lot of farmers making losses, many farmers have left and do not continue to take care of pepper as the previous time, besides the weather in the pepper areas is drought. Therefore, pepper production in 2021 is maybe less than the 2020 crop.
- Many exporters sold short for long time shipments who have not covered raw material yet. They have to buy to ensure time of shipment.
- Some big oversea customers have not yet purchased enough quantity for orders in the 3rd & 4th quarters, so they continue to participate in the market in the coming month.
- At present, the situation in Vietnam is controlling Covid 19 quite well. Transportation service, logistics smoothly and quickly. Therefore the oversea demand for spice products in Vietnam is gradually increasing.
- Although the inventories of Vietnam pepper are still quite large, however, we assess that the pressure of circulation of these inventories is very low due to being scattered from farmers, middlemen, exporters ... They are not in a hurry to sell or be ready to freeze inventory if the market price decreases.
- Even at this level many farmers/collectors still think attractive and they have been buying more quantity to stockpiling from last week until now.
- Currently, it is almost the only Vietnam can supply a large quantity to the market while Indonesia and Brazil are offering very limited and not possible prompt shipment. Therefore, the demand for Vietnamese pepper is expected to continue to increase until next July at least (Indonesia harvests in July, Brazil harvests the second crop in August 2020).
- Contrary to many other pepper exporting countries, Vietnam's currency has been consistently stronger than the USD with a 1% over the past week, that makes pepper prices also up.
In my opinion, pepper prices will continue uptrend until the end of June/July. There will be some short-term corrections in July/August.



##черный_перец #специи #μπαχαρικά #μαύρο πιπέρι #توابل #فلفل اسود #मसाले #काली मिर्च #Gewürze #schwarzer Pfeffer #နံ့သာမျိုး #ငရုတ်ကောင်း #baharat #karabiber #vietnampepper #مصالحے #



















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Monday, May 18, 2020

VIETNAM - PEPPER MARKET UPDATE 18TH MAY - WEEK 21

Market opening today firmer and very less offer. Farmers/middleman keep watching and not offer raw material. Good demand coming from USA/EU/ASIA especially from China both black and white pepper. Exporters covering short position so market maybe continue increasing is foreseen.


VIETNAM EXPORTS

Total export turnover in April reached 73.4 million USD (black pepper; 62.8 million USD, white pepper; 10.6 million USD). Compared to the previous month, export volume decreased by 9.3% and turnover decreased by 12.1%.

The average export price of black pepper in April reached 1,898$/ton and white pepper; 3,150$/ton.
China continued imported biggest quantity within in April, reaching 11,416 tons, up 5.8% and around for 31.3% of total export of Vietnam Pepper.

January to April 2020; Vietnam exported 116,764 tons with turnover reached 248.75 million USD. Compared to the same period in 2019, exports quantity increased by 7.8%, but exports - import turnover decreased by 12.1%.

-          Imports of Asia in the first 4 months decreased by 1,254 tons to 64,868 tons but it remained the largest import area of ​​pepper from Vietnam ( 55.2%).

-          China is biggest with total quantity imported from Jan to April reached 26,266 tons (19.8%), down 2,635 tons compare with the same period last year.

-          India is also sharp decrease from 10,102 tons in 4 months of 2019 to 5,978 tons in 4 months of 2020, a decrease of 40.8%.

-          Some other import markets decreased including Iran decreased 736 tons, Arabs decreased 592 tons, Indonesia decreased 236 tons, ...

-          Imports increased sharply in Myanmar, up 3,346 tons to 4,117 tons, Nepal increased 1,500 tons to 3,826 tons, ...

-          USA import increased by 2,622 tons, of which the USA increased 2,144 tons to 19,759 tons (16.8%) and was the second import market of Vietnam Pepper.

-          Europe, the import increased by 2,976 tons to 20,438 tons (17.4%), leading by Germany imported 4,137 tons, up 562 tons. Next is the Netherlands, Russia, England, Turkey, ... Imports dropped the most in Ireland, dropping 1,791 tons to 385 tons.

-          Africa import around 8.9%, increasing 2,986 tons over the same period, leading by Egypt importing 4,932 tons, up 2,141 tons. Followed by Senegal imported 1,506 tons, up 119 tons.


##черный_перец #специи #μπαχαρικά #μαύρο πιπέρι #توابل #فلفل اسود #मसाले #काली मिर्च #Gewürze #schwarzer Pfeffer #နံ့သာမျိုး #ငရုတ်ကောင်း #baharat #karabiber #vietnampepper #مصالحے #



















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BRIEF PICTURE OF THE SITUATION OF BLACK PEPPER IN BRAZIL



MAY 15, 2020

Pepper in Brazil is scarce now as the harvest in Espirito Santo finished and the new crop in Belem will start in July/August.
Some stock is been kept by the growers but due to scarcity asked prices are hight.

In the last weeks the CORONA issue impacted heavily on pepper trade in Brazil causing delays in processing, transportation and port operations such as inspections and loading/unloading due to strong reduction of the workforce.

These are problems common to the whole world now but, in Brazil has particular issues of the political strugle against the President Bolsonaro which cause a big indefinition about the economy,
As a result of this political unrest, Dollar rates are absolutelly volatile with daily changes of upt to 2% - 3%.
Growers and stock holders try to get maximum price following and oftenly even surpassing de Dollar appreciation.
Therefore business is very difficult to settle.

Some esxporters that sold future shipments are short and struggling to honour their commitments.
In the words of one exporter "he offers price within 10 minutes validity" because growers change prices by hour.
If not confirmed at once the price is not valid anymore. Earlier this week business was done at U$D 1,900 FOB but today it would be impossible to make it at U$D 2,000.

Pepper at farmgate rose 28% from last week to yesterday and more 10% today.

Bottom line is: If you get a suitable offer book it immediatelly ! or consider wait for some weeks to see if market stabilize.
General trend is upwards, and we might see prices way over U$D 2,000 in the next months.






WHATSAPP +5511988027709
MAIL manager@peppertrade.com.br
TWITTER : https://twitter.com/peppertrade

Thursday, January 30, 2020

#CARDAMOM - In India High-priced inventory drives cardamom prices down


High-priced inventory drives cardamom prices down
V.Sajeev Kumar Kochi | Updated on January 29, 2020 Published on January 29, 2020

High-priced inventory, both at primary trade centres and consuming markets, seemed to have a say on cardamom prices, which dropped at Puttady auctions on Wednesday.
Because of this, traders remained inactive in the two trading sessions and that impacted the prices in spite of lower arrivals. There was no active involvement of buyers. Many of them are on a wait-and-watch mode to liquidate stocks and this led to lesser sales, lean buying and higher credit cycle.

Besides, the current harvest from the plantations are of inferior quality and smaller in size at the fag end of the season. This has also added to the sentiments.


The arrivals in the two trading session was 23.6 tonnes, which realised a combined average price of ₹3,660 per kg. The upcountry buyers were not active because of the huge time gap between the two trading sessions. The morning auction was completed in one hour, forcing buyers to wait for long for commencement of the second session, traders said.

In the morning session, the auctioneers Idukki Dist Traditional Cardamom Producer Company offered 11.8 tonnes, which realised an average price of ₹3,655.21 per kg. The highest price quoted for selected lots was ₹3,898.

In the evening session, Vandanmedu Green Gold Cardamom Producer Co offered 11.8 tonnes in which 10.8 tonnes realised an average price of ₹3665.92. The highest price quoted for selected lots was ₹3,905.
Trade analysts Acumen Capital Markets said that most active cardamom March futures gained by 1.64 per cent or ₹64.5 to ₹3,989.90 when last traded on Wednesday.

REFERENCES
1 U$D =71,35 INDIAN RUPEES









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MAIL manager@peppertrade.com.br
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Friday, January 17, 2020

Black pepper in Brazil January 17, 2019



This Thursday and Friday a "bunch"of enquiries was arriving for Brazilian Black Pepper, from different buyers (or agents) to different exporters all trying to  get cheap price.

Actually it is unknown the exact number of enquiries because one buyer usually asks 2 or 3 or 4 suppliers. They go to the market and create an illusion of a big demand.


Anyhow bids @1875, 1850 and even 1800 abound. However this fact has a contrary effect -such activity actualy turns the market stronger, with some reliable exporters stepping out waiting how things will evolve next week.
This because beyond new orders, there are exporters that sold short at the end of the year and now try to cover their commitments.


All-in-one this situation signals an uprising trend in  Brazilian Pepper price.
With Vietnam beginning the new Year celebrations a clearer picture might be seen ofter 2 weeks time.
MW

Monday, August 05, 2019

Cardamom price on a record high

IDUKKI , August 05, 2019 00:17 IST

Delayed harvest leads to poor supply

Cardamom price continues to break records because of the crop’s poor availability in the market. A drop in production is predicted in the days ahead too of the current season.

Market sources said that the first crop of the season had not reached the auction centres and adverse climate had impacted the production. Usually the first crop reaches auction centres by June/July. However, because of poor southwest monsoon, the first crop is expected only by the end of August or in September this time.

The maximum price recorded at the Spices Park at Puttady on Saturday was ₹7,000 a kg while the average price was ₹4,733. It was a record in the maximum and average prices in both the auctions, held in the morning and eventing, at Spices Park.

 In the evening auction held by Header Systems (India) Ltd., Nedumkandam, on Saturday, 26,142 kg reached the auction centre, all of which was sold. The maximum and average prices respectively were ₹7,000 and ₹4,655 per kg.

In the morning auction held by Mas Enterprise, Vandanmedu, of the 8,796 kg of cardamom that had arrived, 8,741 kg was sold at ₹5,212 (maximum) and ₹4,733 per kg (average). The maximum price had remained above ₹4,000 per kg from July 24.
Flood impact

The Cardamom Hill Reserve (CHR) area received very poor rainfall and the atmospheric temperature remains high, affecting the flowering and the growth of beans. In addition, the flood of 2018 had taken a toll with plants largely destroyed in the CHR. Market sources said the high fluctuation in prices may not benefit the farmers and it is likely to drop with the arrival of the first crop.
Giji K. Raman


https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/kerala/cardamom-price-on-a-record-high/article28816195.ece
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Friday, August 07, 2009

Pepper ends the day extremely firm

Pepper ends the day extremely firm here in India with prices soaring to a 12 month high.

Markets moving on bullish fundamentals and higher outside support, spill over strength from other commodities apparently lending very good support.

The charge in pepper is led by the lack of sellers on the spot market which continues to spiral on the back of very firm future deliveries and very good buying interest.

Prices on the future deliveries hit the 3 % circuit and closed at the day’s high.
Tight supply conditions continue for spot pepper which is being sought after by domestic traders in particular.
Lower volumes in trade hitting the spot scene with most traders not excited with the rise in prices, since much of pepper has already been out of their hands as of now.

Higher markets from other origins act as a spark to fuel the upward surge

Indian MG I ASTA grade parity at $ 3100 / 3125 PMT FOB Cochin