IMPORTANT UPDATE ON PEPPER MARKET

 

 

October,22  2020

After a relative quiet and dull season for pepper, the sting seems to be in the tail. We would like to bring you up to speed for the 3 most important pepper exporting countries.

Vietnam
We already noticed that pepper gardens were neglected by the farmers due to the low prices of the recent years. The outlook for 2021 was that we would face a lower crop yield. Mother nature worsoned the situation significantly. Recent heavy rainfall and storms in Vietnam created quite some damage. We have received several reports on land slides in the pepper growing areas. As a result we see buyers stepping in in order to secure requirements. Most active at the moment are Chinese importers of pepper. New crop is still 3-4 months away.

Brazil
In between crops. New crop is expected be delayed by several weeks and foreseen to be ready for shipment in December only. As reported earlier consensus is found in the expectation that the 2020/2021 crop will be substantial lower by about 40% for the same reason as we found in Vietnam: at current price levels farmers have no interest in investing and mainting their gardens on these low price levels.

Indonesia
In Indonesia we have seen the result of poor maintenance this season already. The output for as well black as white pepper was much lower than previous seasons. With relatively high prices compared to other countries of origin, exports were backed by loyal buyers for specifically Lampong and Muntok pepper. However since last week we spot an interesting situation. Chinese importers have stepped up their buying; mainly for Muntok white pepper. Available quantities are decreasing rapidly. Market is firming up fast.
In general we also see the trend of freight rates increasing for shipments from Asia. 

 

 

SPICES MARKET UPDATE 12TH OCT 2020 – WEEK 42

 

PEPPER 

 

Pepper market remained stable during the past week. Heavy rain in all provinces of Vietnam due to typhoons and tropical depressions, the farmer offered raw material is slower than in previous weeks but prices remain unchanged the whole of the week.

The weather may not really affect the 2021 pepper crop and we need more time to evaluate and analyze. However, due to limited fertilization by farmers, the string of peppercorn was sparse, the phenomenon of sparse string in pepper spreading from almost all key pepper areas of Vietnam. In addition, the price was low while the labor cost increases steadily every year. It will significantly affect the yield for the 2021 crop especially for light berries.

Compared to recent years, October & November is quite sensitive on the price to steady/firmer trend when the inventory has been reducing, selling pressure will be lower than usual. The new season crop 2021 still has 3 to 4 months to start (in mid-January, gradually harvested in Daknong area, but the main crop is still in March as usual). 

Due to the influence of Covid, many different countries reduce buying and not inventories, especially China. If the situation of Vaccine improves and becomes clearer, many countries will increase buying volume in the new season 2021. 

 

We will have another survey pepper crop in Oct/Nov and report will be sent you for reference in next month.

 

 

 

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https://offers-peppertrade.blogspot.com/2020/10/vietnam-pepper-offer-october-10th.html 

IPC MKT REPORT No. 38/20, 14 - 18 September 2020

 

 

MARKET REPORT

Market this week was reported positively. In local market, Malabar black pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as compared to the previous week to an average of USD 4,428 per Mt. Indonesia black and white peppers were reported with an increase of 3% and 2% respectively when compared to the previous week at an average of USD 1,951 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,800 per Mt for white pepper. The increase of Indonesia pepper could be contributed to the increase of demand while the stock was limited despite new product coming to the market. Malaysia black and white pepper were reported with an increase of 1% respectively as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 2,420 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,807 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, Viet Nam black and white peppers in local market were reported stable with a marginal increase, averaging at USD 2,013 per Mt for black pepper and USD 2,831 per Mt for white pepper. Sri Lanka black pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as compared to the previous week and was traded at an average of USD 3,123 per Mt while China white pepper was reported stable and unchanged.

International market showed with a similar positive outlook. India black pepper was reported with the same 2% increase as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,700 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper were reported with an increase of 2% respectively as opposed to the previous week at an average of USD 2,386 per Mt for black pepper and USD 4,457 per Mt for white pepper. Malaysia black and white pepper continued to be reported stable and unchanged. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white peppers were reported with an increase of 1% respectively when compared to the previous week averaging at USD 2,500 Per Mt, USD 2,581 per Mt, and USD 4,020 per Mt respectively. China white pepper was reported stable and unchanged.

 

 

VIETNAM PEPPER MARKET UPDATE 8TH SEPTEMBER 2020 – WEEK 37

 

 

According to the estimate of the Import and Export Department, pepper exports in August reached 18 thousand tons, worth $ 45 million, down 0.1% in volume but up 0.3% in value compared to July. Compared to 8/2019 decreased 4.6% in volume and 3% in value.

In the first 8 months of 2020, pepper exports reached 203 thousand tons, worth $ 445 million, down 7.4% in volume and 19.9% in value over the same period in 2019.

In August, the average export price of pepper was estimated at 2,500 USD/ton, an increase of 0.4% compared to July and an increase of 1.6% compared to August 2019.

In the first 8 months of 2020, the average export price of pepper was estimated at 2,198 USD/ton, down 13.5% over the same period in 2019.

Market opening this week with firmer trend due to good demand from EU after long vacation. USA showing many interesting to cover fourth quarter 2020 and first quarter 2021 shipment but we heard Vietnam exporters withraw or have not give any discounting on the price. China we foreseen will back again very soon to cover enough stock 2020 after only booked 1.240 tons in August. Vietnam farmer will walk with deliberate step and not hurry to offer when their stock has reduced remarkable. 

Indonesia White pepper up daily and very less offer due to poor crop. Black Pepper is moving up and less offer is predictable.

Brazil Market firm/up tone and less offer when exporters prefer to cover short position. We heard crop maybe affected due to farmer not take care much in Para crop and density of pepper is lower than expectation.  

 

 *

On August 24, 2020, The Vietnam Ministry of Industry and Trade issued Decision No. 2250 / QD-BCT announcing the List of “Reputable exporters” in 2019. PTEXIM is honor to be the honored pepper exporter.

The list of “reputable exporters” in 2019 was synthesized and announced on the basis of selection and proposal of 55 agencies and organizations including ministries, industries, commodity associations, provincial Department of Industry and Trade with strict criteria for 25 commodity sectors as regulated by the Ministry of Industry and Trade on minimum export turnover, reputation of business with foreigners, and observance of legal regulations on customs. environmental protection tax…

As one of the leading professional exporters in Vietnam’s pepper market. PTEXIM has been recognized and honored by the Ministry of Industry and Trade as a “reputable exporter” in 2019. We understand and persevere in pursue the goal of quality products, professional services and brand reputation as the foundation for sustainable development for businesses with all responsibilities and passion. We hope continue to receive your support.

 

 

 

VIETNAM PEPPER SITUATION AUGUST 2020

 

17^TH AUGUST 2020

In the first 7 months, Vietnam exported 186,160 tons of pepper (166,669 tons of black pepper, 19,491 tons of white pepper).

First half of August, Vietnam exported 7,215 tons of pepper and is forecast to reach at least 15,000 tons in August bringing the total pepper exports to 201,160 tons (180,169 tons of black pepper and 20,991 tons of white pepper).

Thus, we can have a rough look at the export pepper data of 8 months of 2020 as follows;

 

- Exported 180,169 tons of black pepper (1)

- Exported 20,991 tons of white pepper (2)

- Loss weight when processing white pepper 25%; 6,997 tons (3)

- Domestic consumption; 8 - 10,000 tons annually (4)

- Loss weight when processing ground pepper is about 5%; 1,000 tons (5)

 

Total exported and domestic consumption… in the first 8 months 2020 as;

 

(1) + (2) + (3) + (4) + (5) = 219,157 tons (X)

 

As many source and reports from the beginning/middle of this year from Exporter/Processor/IPC/VPA…;

 

- Carry over 2020 is about 20%. Estimated at 80,000 tons (a)

- Crop size 2020; from 230 - 245,000 tons (b)

- Imported from Brazil/Indonesia/Cambodia; 30,000 tons (c)

 

Therefore, the total quantity expected to be used for export 2020 remains;

 

(a) + (b) + (c) = 355,000 tons (Y)

 

So in theory, then;

 

1.      Quantity of pepper used for export for next 4 months from September to December (excluding carry over last year (a) 80,000 tons) as below;

 

(b) + (c) - X = 245,000 + 30,000 - 219,157 = 55,843 tons.

 

This number is easily achieved in the last 4 months of 2020 and certainly the inventories of the previous years will gradually reduce. The total crop size of Vietnam pepper 2020 is not enough for export. It’s quite reflective upon the situation after 5 years back as from 2016.

 

2.      However, if including inventory of 80,000 tons (a), the total quantity will be used for export for next 4 months from September to December as below;

 

(Y) - (X) = 355,000 - 219,157 = 135,843 tons.

 

Thus, the total quantity used for export is plentiful because next 4 months definitely the total quantity to export can not exceed 70.000 tons . However, please note; the inventory for pepper in Vietnam is at 15 - 20% in every year. It is considered to be largely frozen inventory and its concentrate to exporters, middleman and rich farmers stock. These inventories are less pressured to sell if the price is not attractive enough (lower than inventory price – maybe very high).

 

Note; The data above is our research and it’s for reference only because the statistical tool has many shortcomings and limitations.

*This report made and presented by the

 

IPC PEPPER REPORT No. 33/20, 10 - 14 August 2020

 

LOCAL MARKET

Market this week showed a mixed response with only Indonesia black pepper was reported with a decrease. In local market, Malabar black pepper was reported with an increase of 1% when compared to previous week at an average of USD 4,199 per Mt. Indonesia black pepper was reported with 4% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 2,026 per Mt whilst Indonesia white pepper was reported stable averaging at USD 3,478 per Mt. The decrease of Indonesia black pepper price could be contributed to the harvest season currently ongoing, thus, pushing down the local price. Malaysia black and white peppers in local market were reported stable with a marginal increase at an average of USD 2,387 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,754 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, Viet Nam black and white pepper were reported with an increase of 2% and 5% respectively when compared to the previous week averaging at USD 1,995 per Mt for black pepper and USD 2,829 per Mt for white pepper. Sr i Lanka black pepper was reported with an increase of 1% as compared to the previous week and was traded at an average of USD 2,864 per Mt.

INTERNATIONAL MARKET

International market also showed a mixed response as only India origin was reported with an increase. India black pepper was reported with the same increase of 1% when compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,466 per Mt. Indonesia black pepper was reported with 4% deficit when compared to the previous week at an average of USD 2,472 per Mt whilst Indonesia white pepper was reported steady averaging at USD 4,098 per Mt. Malaysia black and white pepper were reported stable and unchanged. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper were reported stable with a marginal increase averaging at USD 2,430 per Mt, USD 2,511 per Mt and USD 3,950 per Mt respectively. 

 

 

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GLOBAL PEPPER PRICES ON AN UPWARD TREND

 
Kochi  August 12, 2020

Pepper prices have started moving up globally, thanks to increased buying activities in the international markets.

Sri Lankan pepper prices was up by $400 per tonne, touching $3300-3500, while the rates of Vietnam, Indonesia and Brazil are also reporting an increase of $300-400 per tonne. Overall, there is a surge in procurement globally, said Kishore Shamji of Kishor Spices.
The Indian domestic market is also reported to be active in view of the ensuing festival demand. All sections of the trade are in a mood to cover their requirements as they are not expecting any downward price trend in the near future, he said.

The Kochi market was up by ₹1 per kg at Rs315 per kg for ungarbled on Wednesday and the farming community appears to be holding the crop, anticipating a further rise in prices, Shamji said. This is evident from the arrivals in the market, which was only at seven tonnes. The prices of Karnataka pepper are reported to be higher than Kerala due to good demand for bolder berries.

Moreover, heavy rains and landslides in the high ranges has hampered truck movement, bringing pepper to the market. Since the market is witnessing a good demand, he said the prices are expected to go up.

IPSTA Black pepper rates.
MG1 – ₹335 ; UNG-₹315 ; 500 G/L – ₹305 ; Arrival/Off-take – 7 tonnes

* Today:
1 USD = 74.8315 INR


V.Sajeev Kumar  for
Thehindubusinessline.com

 

 

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IPC PEPPER REPORT No. 31/20, 27 - 31 July 2020

LOCAL MARKET 

As the Moslem around the world celebrates the Eid Al-Adha Mubarak 1441 H amid the global pandemic of Corona Virus, Market this week showed mixed response with a rather positive outlook as only Viet Nam origin recording a decrease. In local market, Malabar black pepper was reported with an increase of 1% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,122 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper were reported with an increase of 8% and 5% respectively as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 2,193 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,426 per Mt for white pepper. The increase of Indonesia pepper could be contributed to the increase of demand as well as the strengthening of Indonesian Rupiah against US Dollar (IDR 14,593 @ USD 1), an appreciation by 1% recorded. Malaysia black and white peppers in local market were reported with an increase of 1% respectively when compared to the previous week at an average of USD 2,301 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,655 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, Viet Nam black and white pepper were reported with 3% deficit respectively when compared to the previous week averaging at USD 1,970 per Mt for black pepper and USD 2,745 per Mt for white pepper. Sri Lanka black pepper was reported with a significant increase of 8% as compared to the previous week and was traded at an average of USD 2,858 per Mt. China white pepper was reported stable and unchanged.

INTERNATIONAL  MARKET

International market was reported with a more positive outlook. India black pepper was reported with the same increase of 1% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,390 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper were reported with an increase of 7% and 5% respectively as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 2,665 per Mt for black pepper and USD 4,044 per Mt for white pepper. Malaysia black pepper was reported with an increase of 2% when compared to the previous week at an average of USD 3,609 per Mt whilst Malaysia white pepper was reported stable. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper as well as China white pepper continued to be reported stable and unchanged.

US market this week was reported with the increase of price of black as well as white pepper nevertheless buyers held on to source from producing origins. Muntok white pepper for CF August/September was reported at USD 4.600 per Mt.

VIETNAM PEPPER MARKET UPDATE 27TH JULY 2020 – WEEK 31

 

 

Viet Nam
According to preliminary data of Vietnam Customs, pepper exports in June 2020 reached only 20,449 tons, less 9,902 tons, a sharp decrease of 32.62% compared to the previous month and down 10,236 tons, or 33.36% less than the same period last year 2019. The pepper export turnover in June reached $47.17 million, down $13.74 million, or 22.55% down from the May 2020 and down $28.04 million, or 37.28% compared to the same period last year.

Accumulated export volume of pepper in the first 6 months of 2020 reached 166,812 tons, down 10,046 tons, or 5.68% compared to the export volume in the first 6 months of 2019.

The average export price in June 2020 reached $2,306/ton, up 14.95% compared to the average export price of May 2020.

The same export, Vietnam imported a sharp decrease compared with 2019 when total quantity only 14,899 tons of pepper, including 11,283 tons of black pepper and 3,616 tons of white pepper. Compared to the same period in 2019, import volume decreased by 34.3%. Vietnam imports pepper mainly from Brazil, Indonesia and Cambodia. In which, the import from Brazil was 100% black pepper with 5,802 tons, down 34.9%; imports from Indonesia reached 5,528 tons (of which 2,057 tons were black pepper and 3,471 tons were white pepper), down 50.4% over the same period.

Until July 20th, 2020, Vietnam exported 9,942 tons of pepper and is forecast to export 16 - 17,000 tons in this month, bringing the total export volume in the first 7 months reached 183,812 tons (first 7 month 2019 exported 203.737 tons).

Pepper market in week 30^th 2020 has increased slightly by 2% compared to week 29. The main reason is that exporters focus on covering raw material to ensure time shipment has been done before.

In general, demand in week 30^th more than week 29^th when many different countries have gradually increased production again after a long time restrained due to Covid 19 (especially EU/India). Demand is still quite slow but many requests from the EU/US for long shipment orders from Q4/2020 until the end of 2021.

The market is still quite sensitive and the price trend is likely to be quite stable in the near future.

 Brazil
Almost the same previous week when only possible to offer very limited quantities but not for prompt shipment. Delivery time is mostly in September/October as a seller option. We can foresee Vietnam exporters will not be hedging raw material from Brazil from now.

 Indonesia
Currently harvesting but less offered. Prices are still higher than Vietnam both black and white pepper especially muntok white pepper.

IPC PEPPER MKT REPORT No. 30/20, 20 - 24 July 2020

MARKET REPORT
Market this week showed mixed response with Indonesia and Viet Nam origin recording a decrease.
In local market, Malabar black pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,088 per Mt.
Entering the harvest season as well as the slow demand, Indonesia black and white pepper were reported with 12% and 5% deficit respectively as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 2,039 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,262 per Mt for white pepper.
Malaysia black and white peppers in local market were reported with an increase of 4% and 2% respectively when compared to the previous week at an average of USD 2,275 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,626 per Mt for white pepper.
Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper was reported with 1% deficit when compared to the previous week averaging at USD 2,040 per Mt whilst Viet Nam white pepper remained stable and unchanged.
Sri Lanka black pepper was reported with an increase of 4% as compared to the prev ious week and was traded at an average of USD 2,644 per Mt.
China white pepper was reported stable and unchanged. 

INTERNATIONAL MARKET
International market showed a similar trend as the local market. India black pepper was reported with the same increase of 2% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,355 per Mt.
Indonesia black and white pepper were reported with 12% and 5% deficit respectively as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 2,488 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,858 per Mt for white pepper. Malaysia black and white peppers were reported stable and unchanged.
Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper as well as China white pepper continued to be reported stable and unchanged.

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VIETNAM MARKET UPDATE 1ST JULY 2020 – WEEK 27

JULY 1st ,  2020

Viet Nam;

The pepper market uptrend again with 45$ increase in the first day of July after falling in the past week. Despite the negative information and lower oversea demand compared to the previous months. However, in June, Vietnamese also exported roughly 24,000 tons, bringing the total pepper exported in the first 6 months of 2020 to reach 171,115 tons (6 months of 2019; 180,276 tons). With the commitment was done, we will not be surprised if the export volume in July, 2020 to reach 18-20,000 tons at least, bringing the total export volume in the first 7 months of 2020 to approximately 190,000 tons. An impressive figure when total production of 2020 pepper crop is assessed to decrease by 15-20% compared to the 2019 crop.

Some other information for reference;

- Export in the last 6 months of 2017 (July to December); 89,529 tons

- Export in the last 6 months of 2018 (July to December);  103,737 tons

- Export in the last 6 months of 2019 (July to December); 106,727 tons

- Let's wait and see how many tons will be exported in the last 6 months of 2020

Although China's demand is currently low, they almost do not participate in pepper much over 5 weeks. However, the current price remains stable and it will be difficult to reduce in the near future due to stock coming too tight. Prices are still low and farmers are not willing to sell more when market correction. If the price is reduced, farmers immediately offer to drip and stop offering.

Brazil;

Currently, Brazil stock finished now and cannot offer immediate shipment. The second crop of Brazil will start in end August/early September, so it can only be offered during September onwards 2020 shipment. However, it is likely that Brazilian exporters have already sold about 15 - 20% of the new crop in advance and will prefer to cover from farmers first instead of continuing to offer further shipment.

Indonesia;

We heard heavy rains and strong wind continuously so maybe delays in harvesting until beginning August. Prices are not attractive to the farmer and the 2020 crop may reduce production. Crop 2020 expected to export is very small with about 17-20,000 tons so farmers/exporters will not hurry to offer.

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IPC PEPPER MKT REPORT No. 25/20, 15 - 19 June 2020

19 June 2020

LOCAL MARKET REPORT
Market this week showed mixed response with a rather negative outlook. In local market, Malabar black pepper was reported with 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,141 per Mt. Indonesia black pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 2,182 per Mt. The increase of Indonesia pepper could be contributed to the increase of demand while the stocks were limited. In local currency, the price of Indonesia black pepper increased to an average of IDR 31,000 per Kg from IDR 30,000 per Kg in previous week. As this week Indonesia Rupiah depreciated by 1% against US Dollar, Indonesia white pepper was reported with a 1% deficit as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 3,132 per Mt. Malaysia black and white pepper in local market were reported with an increase of 4% and 2% respectively as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 1,834 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,205 per Mt for white pepper. Furt hermore, Viet Nam black pepper was reported with 3% deficit as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 2,135 per Mt whilst Viet white pepper was reported with an increase of 1% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 3,066 per Mt. Sri Lanka black pepper was reported with 1% deficit when compared to the previous week and was traded at an average of USD 2,689 per Mt. China white pepper was reported stable and unchanged.
INTERNATIONAL  MARKET
International market showed a similar trend as the local market. India black pepper was reported with the same 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,404 per Mt. Indonesia black pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 2,657 per Mt whilst Indonesia white pepper was reported with 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 3,721 per Mt. Contrary to the local market, internationally Malaysia black and white pepper were reported with 7% deficit respectively when compared to the previous week averaging at USD 3,350 per Mt for black pepper and USD 4,800 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper were reported with 2%, 2% and 1% deficit respectively as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 2,490 per Mt, USD 2,570 per Mt and USD 3,800 per Mt respectively. China white pepper was reported stable and unchanged.
Trade activity in US market this week was reported slowing down due to instability of origin prices, financial problems and local currencies. Muntok white pepper for CF July/August was reported at USD 4.150 per Mt. 

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VIETNAM - PEPPER MARKET UPDATE 15TH JUNE - WEEK 25

Pepper market week 24 was down in value of about 2.7% due to a collectors in Daksong (main pepper area) which has lost liquidity and unable to pay deeply in debts.

This cause to a lots of farmers/middlemans in a panic and forced to close the consignment of goods at other collectors warehouse to recover cash to avoid the risk of consignment, causing the price to drop quickly by 2.5% in 1-2 days (the material from 55,000 VND has dropped sharply about VND 53,500 as of today).

After the shock reduction, the market seems to have regained its balance and the upward trend/stable continues to be clearly shown by the increasing demand from oversea importers during the past week. Despite difficulties due to Covid - 19, the new price level has been firmly established because good demand from the EU/ASIA market.

Through a quick survey in raw material area, we would like to briefly outline the situation as follows;

-  Vietnam's inventory is still large. However, the current inventory is scattered from many different person such as;

+ Farmer households (estimated to hold 15-20% of inventory). We assess this stock has no selling pressure as it is concentrated among the wealthiest households. Farmers can stockpiling if prices go down. Its as frozen stock already.

+ Top 10 big exporters keeping around 25,000 tons. Other exporters around 10.000 tons more. Total exporters keeping 30,000 - 35,000 tons (We do not know how much quantity has been sold)

+ Four large domestic agents are holding about 20,000 tons at least.

+ Total exported within fitst 5 months 2020 reach 148.000 tons.

Therefore, regardless of the number of pepper crop production in Vietnam 2020, currently total quantity offering for export is not much available in the last 6 months of 2020.

- Its not much difference in the situation of the new crop 2021 such as drought or heavy rain, and there are also favorable weather areas and disadvantages… However, the main point is many farmers neglect and do not take care of pepper plantation as before because the current price is not attractive enough to take care and maintain. This may be the most important reason for a decrease in production in the coming seasons 2021.

We will have more surveys situation in August & another in October. We hope to give more useful and accurate information in the crop year 2020/2021.

Other information for reference;

- Brazil Currency fluctuations are very erratic with large amplitudes. Currently, inventory available for sale was negligible. Almost had to wait for a new crop at Para at the end of August/September.

- Indonesia It is forecasted that the crop size less by 20% and will be harvested by the end of July. Few boxes maybe available for August shipment for testing market.

- India Reopening again after long time lockdown due to Covid 19. India's market demand continues to increase compared to previous months.

- China Continued to participate in the market, but was less than in June due to the complicated situation of Covid-19. However, we expect more demand will coming in the next 1-2 weeks.

- America continued to participate in the market with orders delivered in the second half of 2020.

- Asia/EU We expect increase from the EU when other origin do not have big quantity for immediate shipment.

- Vietnam currency stronger than USD is foreseen.

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VIETNAM - PEPPER MARKET UPDATE 08 JUNE - WEEK 24

The market has fluctuated throughout the week. However, at the end of the week 23, the market is still in an upward trend of nearly 2% from 54,000 VND on 1^st June and remained stable at 55,000 VND today. The domestic collectors continued to offer in small quantities and was hesitant in a tension between many exporters and domestic collectors/middleman.

After the price has changed dramatically in the last 2 weeks, the current price trend has become stronger and set a new price on the market. Oversea customers bought orders and looking for new inquiries in the third and fourth quarters 2020. However, the exporters was very cautious and only offer spot/prompt shipment instead of forwards shipment as before. Vietnam currency is still stronger trend than USD making Vietnam pepper price also higher.

Other information for your reference;

- In 2006; pepper price remained stable from January to May at 860 USD/MT. However, within 3 months, pepper price increased by 115% to 1,850 USD/MT (convert at current exchange rate).

- In 2011; the price of pepper at the beginning of the season was 4,340 USD but by the end of December it reached 7,122 USD. Increased 64%.

- In 2013 & 2014; the pepper prices at the beginning of the season reached 6,281 USD but increased 48% to 9,315$ in December.

2020;  Pepper prices still were at a loss for many farmers in this crop, a lot of farm households cut their pepper trees and converted other agriculture product. Currently, prices with increasing tendency have also stimulated farmers to take more care in their pepper plantation. However, the drought situation and many farmers who have changed to another product/cut their plantation not only in Vietnam but also other countries such as Indonesia/Brazil/Cambodia…We have a forecast that total crop production in 2021 will be significantly affected.

We will have a tour to survey the situation of pepper crop 2020 again from June 9 to June 17, 2020 and we will try to collect information to update you with the details in July.

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INDIAN PEPPER PRICES MAY MOVE UP ON GLOBAL TREND

 June 05, 2020

 China’s increased buying has pushed up the global pepper prices, especially in Vietnam and Indonesia, while the rates in India have seen only a marginal improvement. Domestic growers, who have not benefited from the global price trend are hoping to see higher realisations on the anticipated pick-up in demand with the easing of the lockdown.

Prices have registered double-digit increases in Vietnam and Indonesia over the past one month, while in India it went up by 1.8 per cent. According to the International Pepper Community, Vietnam prices rose 18.54 per cent at $2621 per tonne on June 4 from $2211 in May 4. Likewise, Indonesian prices also posted 14.12 per cent increase from $2088 to $2383. However, Indian prices witnessed only a marginal rise at 1.8 per cent from $4,354 to $4,434. “So far, the Indian growers have not really benefited from the recent global price rise. However, we are hoping that prices would move up in the next few weeks with a likely pick-up in demand from North India after the easing of lockdown,” said MC Kariappa, Chairman of Kodagu Planters Association. Farm gate prices have moved up from around ₹290-300 levels two months ago to around ₹315-317 per kg.

High production cost

Kishore Shamji, Coordinator of Indian Pepper, Spice Traders, Growers Consortium-Kerala Chapter, said the Indian prices, which is hovering above $4,000, is already on the higher side due to high domestic demand equivalent to production. The higher prices have benefited farmers, but the high production cost is posing a problem. The cost of production can be reduced by improving productivity.

India is expecting 60,000 tonnes of production as against 55,000 tonnes last year. It is the intrinsic value of Indian pepper that brought selected buyers from the US, Canada, and Europe, who have special preference for Malabar Black Pepper or Tellicherry Garbled Extra Bold or Malabar Tellicherry Special Extra Bold, he added.

“It cannot be said that the prices of low quality pepper are rising in the international market. The prices that have dropped to $1,800 are now recovering as China becomes active and starts buying as much as the US does,” Shamji said.
However, the high piperine content of Sri Lankan pepper, which is above 10 per cent, has made the commodity from the island nation a preferred choice for the spices extraction industry after paying a premium price.

Price rise in Vietnam

Prakash Namboothiri, former president of All India Spices Exporters Forum, noted that the Vietnam pepper prices have witnessed a spike due to high buying from China and other markets because of a jump in business activities in the post-Covid situation. The Indian prices are already at 50-60 per cent higher levels than Vietnam. However, there has been a decent pick-up in Indian prices in the last couple of days.
According to him, the global pepper market last week saw some fluctuations as some speculators booked profits when the price has reached the expectation. However, the price has still increased 13.4 per cent within a week from May 25 to 31. Indian prices when compared to other origins are already 50-60 per cent higher to similar grades. India needs to work on reducing the cost of production to ensure the farmers to make more profits which should be the end benefit, he said.

Rosy outlook

An expert in the pepper sector said the absence of a domestic market has forced farmers in Vietnam and Indonesia to depend on international markets for sale at cheaper prices. The market for Indian pepper is mainly dependent on domestic demand, which is always constant. Since Indian prices are on the higher side, international buyers look for low-priced pepper. The pick-up in domestic demand is also likely to result in the inflow of pepper from countries such as Nepal and Sri Lanka.

However, the future of spices looks rosy as commodities such as pepper, ginger, and turmeric find application in immune therapy.




V Sajeev Kumar/Vishwanath Kulkarni Kochi/Bengaluru
https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/