IPC PEPPER MKT REPORT No. 25/20, 15 - 19 June 2020

19 June 2020

LOCAL MARKET REPORT
Market this week showed mixed response with a rather negative outlook. In local market, Malabar black pepper was reported with 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,141 per Mt. Indonesia black pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 2,182 per Mt. The increase of Indonesia pepper could be contributed to the increase of demand while the stocks were limited. In local currency, the price of Indonesia black pepper increased to an average of IDR 31,000 per Kg from IDR 30,000 per Kg in previous week. As this week Indonesia Rupiah depreciated by 1% against US Dollar, Indonesia white pepper was reported with a 1% deficit as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 3,132 per Mt. Malaysia black and white pepper in local market were reported with an increase of 4% and 2% respectively as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 1,834 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,205 per Mt for white pepper. Furt hermore, Viet Nam black pepper was reported with 3% deficit as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 2,135 per Mt whilst Viet white pepper was reported with an increase of 1% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 3,066 per Mt. Sri Lanka black pepper was reported with 1% deficit when compared to the previous week and was traded at an average of USD 2,689 per Mt. China white pepper was reported stable and unchanged.
INTERNATIONAL  MARKET
International market showed a similar trend as the local market. India black pepper was reported with the same 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,404 per Mt. Indonesia black pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 2,657 per Mt whilst Indonesia white pepper was reported with 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 3,721 per Mt. Contrary to the local market, internationally Malaysia black and white pepper were reported with 7% deficit respectively when compared to the previous week averaging at USD 3,350 per Mt for black pepper and USD 4,800 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper were reported with 2%, 2% and 1% deficit respectively as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 2,490 per Mt, USD 2,570 per Mt and USD 3,800 per Mt respectively. China white pepper was reported stable and unchanged.
Trade activity in US market this week was reported slowing down due to instability of origin prices, financial problems and local currencies. Muntok white pepper for CF July/August was reported at USD 4.150 per Mt. 

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#BLACKPEPPER -IPC MARKET REPORT

No. 07/20, 10 - 14 February 2020

MARKET REPORT
Market this week showed a mixed response with a rather negative outlook as only India origin was reported with an increase. In local market, Malabar black pepper was traded with an increase of 1% as compared to the previous week with an average of USD 4,382 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper was reported stable at an average of USD 1,753 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,141 per Mt for white pepper. Malaysian black and white pepper were traded domestically with a 2% and 1% deficit respectively as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 1,820 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,239 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, the ongoing harvest season in Viet Nam pushed Viet Nam black pepper to be traded with a 2% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 1,597 per Mt. Whilst, Viet Nam white pepper was reported steady with an average of USD 2,410 per Mt. Sri Lanka black pepper was traded with a 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 2, 916 per Mt.
International market followed similar trend in local market as only India recorded an increase. India was reported trading its Malabar black pepper internationally with the same increase of 1% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,662 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper were reported stable with an average of USD 2,174 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,740 per Mt for white pepper. Malaysia black and white pepper continued to be traded stable and unchanged. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper were reported with a greater loss in international market and were traded with a 7%, 6% and 5% deficit respectively when compared to the previous week at an average of USD 1,900 per Mt, USD 2,000 per Mt and USD 3,000 per Mt respectively. The decrease of FOB price in Viet Nam could be contributed to China demand in recent week was static and it has an impact due to Viet Nam was the biggest supplier for China pepper market.
The Lunar New Year holiday which was followed immediately by the devastating outbreak of the Corona Virus have china market in the past 5 weeks were reported inactive as no business took place. Reports coming in from Hainan stating that people remain in their house and refraining from going out.

WHATSAPP +5511988027709
MAIL manager@peppertrade.com.br
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Black pepper in Brazil January 17, 2019

This Thursday and Friday a "bunch"of enquiries was arriving for Brazilian Black Pepper, from different buyers (or agents) to different exporters all trying to  get cheap price.

Actually it is unknown the exact number of enquiries because one buyer usually asks 2 or 3 or 4 suppliers. They go to the market and create an illusion of a big demand.


Anyhow bids @1875, 1850 and even 1800 abound. However this fact has a contrary effect -such activity actualy turns the market stronger, with some reliable exporters stepping out waiting how things will evolve next week.
This because beyond new orders, there are exporters that sold short at the end of the year and now try to cover their commitments.


All-in-one this situation signals an uprising trend in  Brazilian Pepper price.
With Vietnam beginning the new Year celebrations a clearer picture might be seen ofter 2 weeks time.
MW

IPC MARKET REPORT No. 51/19, 16 - 20 December 2019

LOCAL MARKET
Market this week showed mixed responses with India and Viet Nam origins recorded with an increase. In local market, Malabar black pepper was traded with an increase of 1% as compared to the previous week with an average of USD 4,746 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper was reported stable at an average of USD 1,750 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,035 per Mt for white pepper. Malaysian black and white pepper was traded negatively with 1% and 2% decreases respectively as opposed to the previous week at an average of USD 1,840 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,258 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper was reported with an increase of 1% as opposed to the previous week with an average of USD 1,764 per Mt. Whilst, Viet Nam white pepper was reported steady at an average of USD 2,626 per Mt. After the continuous increasing trend lately, Sri Lanka black pepper was traded with marginal decrease and was reported with 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 3,822 per Mt. In the past four weeks China white pepper was continuously reported with a deficit and this week it was reported with a 1% deficit as compared to the previous week with an average of USD 4,350 per Mt.

INTERNATIONAL MARKET
International market reacted rather stable this week with only India recorded an increase. FOB price of India black pepper was reported with the same increase of 1% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 5,027 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper was reported steady with an average of USD 2,167 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,616 per Mt for white pepper. Malaysia black and white pepper continued to be traded stable and unchanged. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper were also reported stable at an average of USD 2,330 per Mt, USD 2,395 per Mt and USD 3,480 per Mt respectively. In international market China was reported with a higher deficit by 3% as opposed to the previous week with an average of USD 4,450 per Mt.

IPC MARKET REVIEW - November 2019

During the course of 11 years, spot price on New York markets fluctuated and was reported to firstly spike up in November 2011 with USD 8,556 per Mt for black pepper and USD 12,922 per Mt for white pepper which then followed with decreasing trend which lasted for 3 year. The spot price on New York market then started to gradually increase in the middle of 2013 until it peaked in July 2015 and recorded the highest price in history of the pepper industry with USD 11,333 per Mt for black pepper and USD 16,496 per Mt for white pepper. Following the peaked in July 2015, the spot prices of black and white pepper gradually decreased and lasted longer, compared with the previous trend, until the present time with USD 2,977 per Mt for black pepper and USD 5,072 per Mt for white pepper recorded in July 2019. Furthermore, in the course of 11 years the lowest spot price was reported in March 2009 with USD 2,568 per Mt for black pepper and USD 4,025 per Mt for white pepper (Chart 10).

The shift in the stretching of the decreasing trend of pepper price in the past few years could be contributed to the significant increase of stock in the global market which imbalance with the demand for pepper. By the end of 2019, the global production of pepper is estimated to be 591,946 Mt.

DOWNLOAD THE FULL REPORT
www.mediafire.com/fi…/ydzut32v004vado/pnmrNov2019A4.pdf/file

TRYING TO UNDERSTAND BLACK PEPPER MARKET

A Client asked me today:

" Why Brazilian Black Pepper has been cheaper then Vietnam for such long time ?
I´ve been in the market for 6 years now and I never seen such situation !"

Well, neither I know.
I´ve been trying to understand the reasons but cannot find a reasonable answers for 2 questions:
Why brazilian pepper had been cheaper for all year long, and
Why Pepper price in general decreased that much in the last seasons ?

Average prices for B1 550g black pepper in 2002 were U$D 1,500/ton
Than in 2006/2007 it started to rise to U$D1,800 /U$R 2,000 / U$D 2,250... ended the 2007 quoted at U$D 3,700
After a relatively smooth 2008 and 2009 it climbed to U$D 4,200 at the end of 2010.
Beginning 2011 it went from U$D4,200 to U$D 7,000 and from then it was always quoted in the range ofU$  7 - 8,000, with a peak of U$D 9,000 in 2015.
In the middle of2017 it started to fall ending the year at U$D 3,600 and now is averaging U$D 2,000 - back to 12 years ago !
If inflation is considered, the present price is even lower that the one of 2002.

WHY ??? What happened to pull the prices to such behaviour ?  And what´s is to come now ???

Therefore I invite you to write a guess about these 2 questions and further try to make a preview for the next year or even more extended. Please write to manager@peppertrade.com.br

The answers for these questions will be published on our blog and FB page, and if you desire we´ll mention your name and mail adress.

Let´s see if we find a consensus

Thank you all
Michail Wagapoff

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