EXPORT OF PEPPER BY BRAZIL

June 26/2020
Brazil, known as one of the major pepper producing countries known for its Black Pepper, is reported to have a more competitive price as opposed to other origins. In recent year, Brazil has also surpassed Indonesia as the second largest pepper producer in the world with estimated quantity of 80,000 Mt in 2019. Brazil's increase of production could be contributed to the output of the first harvest of new plantation planted in 2017. Brazil, had also managed to take the second largest pepper exporter position from Indonesia in 2017.

In 2018, Brazil was reported to have exported a total of 72,580 Mt of pepper from which 99.8% or 72,456 Mt of it comprised of whole pepper and 0.2% or 124 Mt of it ground pepper. Brazil on average exported a total of 6,048 Mt per month in 2018 which peaked in November with 12,791 Mt. The highest pepper export in November was due to pepper harvest in Brazil during September-November. The total revenue of Brazil's export of pepper in 2018 was reported to be as high as USD 194.9 Million. Thus, recording the average price of the total pepper exported by Brazil at USD 2,687 per Mt for whole pepper and USD 1,952 per Mt for ground pepper.

Year 2019 saw an increase in term of quantity of pepper exported by Brazil. Brazil was reported to have exported a total of 84,676 Mt of which 99.9% or 84,607 Mt of it comprised of whole pepper and 0.1% or 68 Mt of it ground pepper, recording an increase of 17% when compared with 2018. The average export of pepper by Brazil in 2019 was reported to be at 7,056 Mt per month which peaked in October with 11,119 Mt.

Although increasing in terms of quantity, Brazil's revenue from pepper export was reported with a decrease by 8% as compared to the previous year to a total of USD 179.6 Million. Thus, recording an average price of the total pepper exported by Brazil at USD 2,121 per Mt for whole pepper and USD 1,766 per Mt for ground pepper or a decrease by 21% and 10% respectively as compared to 2018.

As of May 2020, Brazil was reported to have exported a total of 42,813 Mt which 99.8% or 42,741 Mt of it comprised of whole pepper and 0.2% or 72 Mt of it ground pepper. Thus, recording an increase of 8% when compared to the same period in 2019. As of May 2020, the total revenue of pepper export by Brazil was reported to have reached USD 82.0 Million, recording a decrease by 4% as compared to the same period in 2019. The average price of the total pepper exported by Brazil as of May 2020 was reported at USD 1,917 per Mt for whole pepper and USD 1,062 per Mt for ground pepper.

Pepper from Brazil is widely traded in America, Africa, Asia and European countries. As of May 2020, Brazil's top 5 Country of destinations for its pepper were reported to be United States of America with 5,911 Mt (an increase of 25% as compared to the same period in 2019), Morocco with 5,041 Mt (an increase of 73%), Viet Nam with 4,323 Mt (a decrease of 0.1%), Germany with 4,091 Mt (a decrease of 11%) and Egypt with 3,830 Mt (an increase of 66%). 

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BRIEF PICTURE OF THE SITUATION OF BLACK PEPPER IN BRAZIL

MAY 15, 2020

Pepper in Brazil is scarce now as the harvest in Espirito Santo finished and the new crop in Belem will start in July/August.
Some stock is been kept by the growers but due to scarcity asked prices are hight.

In the last weeks the CORONA issue impacted heavily on pepper trade in Brazil causing delays in processing, transportation and port operations such as inspections and loading/unloading due to strong reduction of the workforce.

These are problems common to the whole world now but, in Brazil has particular issues of the political strugle against the President Bolsonaro which cause a big indefinition about the economy,
As a result of this political unrest, Dollar rates are absolutelly volatile with daily changes of upt to 2% - 3%.
Growers and stock holders try to get maximum price following and oftenly even surpassing de Dollar appreciation.
Therefore business is very difficult to settle.

Some esxporters that sold future shipments are short and struggling to honour their commitments.
In the words of one exporter "he offers price within 10 minutes validity" because growers change prices by hour.
If not confirmed at once the price is not valid anymore. Earlier this week business was done at U$D 1,900 FOB but today it would be impossible to make it at U$D 2,000.

Pepper at farmgate rose 28% from last week to yesterday and more 10% today.

Bottom line is: If you get a suitable offer book it immediatelly ! or consider wait for some weeks to see if market stabilize.
General trend is upwards, and we might see prices way over U$D 2,000 in the next months.

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BLACK PEPPER REPORT - HIGHLIGHT ON BRAZIL FEB 2020

Production and Productivity

Brazil, known as one of the major pepper producing countries which is famous for its Black Pepper, is known to have a more competitive price as opposed to other origins. In recent year, Brazil has also surpassed Indonesia as the second largest pepper producer in the world with estimated quantity of 80,000 Mt in 2019. Brazil's increase of production could be contributed to the output of the first harvest of new plantation planted in 2017.

During 2008-2020 the area under pepper cultivation in Brazil had fluctuated. Between 2008-2013, area under pepper cultivation in Brazil saw a decrease by 37% to a total of 18,472 Ha from 29,549 Ha in 2008. The area under pepper cultivation in Brazil saw an increasing trend during 2013-2018 with an increase of 65% to a total of 30,503 Ha. In the course of 11 years between 2008-2018 total area under pepper cultivation in Brazil recorded an increase by 3% (Table 7). Furthermore, in 2019 the area under pepper cultivation in Brazil was estimated to increase by 2% as compared to 2018 to a total of 31,040 Ha. Whilst, for the year 2020 the area of pepper cultivation was projected to decrease by 1% as compared to 2019. The decrease of area under pepper cultivation in Brazil could be contributed to farmers in the last two years have stopped expanding new plantation in Para Region and Espirito Santos Region which are the main producer of pepper in Brazil.

Brazil production of pepper during 2008-2020 was reported fluctuating with a rather positive trend. In the course 11 years since 2008 pepper production in Brazil was reported to have recorded an increase of 76% as it recorded a total of 72,000 Mt in 2018 which comprised of 68,500 Mt of black pepper and 3,500 Mt of white pepper. The highest production of Brazil pepper In the course of 11 years between 2008-2018 was reported in 2018 with 72,000 Mt whilst the lowest production occurred in 2012 with 32,000 Mt. However, in the year 2019 production of Brazil pepper was estimated to increase by 11% when compared with 2018 to a total of 80,000 Mt which comprised of 76,000 Mt of black pepper and 4,000 Mt of white pepper. Furthermore, in relation to the decrease of the area under pepper cultivation as well as the lack of care for pepper plantation by farmers, in 2020 Brazilian pepper production was projected to decrease by 3% when compared to 2019 to a total of 78,000 Mt.

Pepper productivity in Brazil In the course of 13 years between 2008-2020 was reported to be fluctuated with a rather positive trend. During 2008-2020, the lowest pepper productivity in Brazil was reported in 2008 with 1,388 Kg per Ha while the highest productivity was reported in 2019 which was estimated at 2,577 Kg per Mt. The lowest decrease of pepper productivity in Brazil was reported to occur in 2016 as it recorded a 19% loss when compared with the previous year. Whilst the highest increase of pepper productivity was reported in 2017 which recorded a 45% increase as opposed to the previous year. For the year 2019, Brazil pepper productivity was estimated with an increase of 9% to 2,577 Kg per Ha whilst in 2020 Brazil pepper productivity was projected with a slight decrease by 1% to 2,541 Kg per Ha .


Pepper Export from Brazil

Brazil, known as the second largest pepper producer in the world, had managed to take the second largest pepper exporter position from Indonesia in 2017. Since 2008 until 2019 there had been a significant increase of 131% or 48,091 Mt in the quantity of pepper export from Brazil which was mainly dominated with black pepper as it contributed to 94% of the total export figures (Table 8). The highest pepper export occurred in 2019 with 84,676 Mt whilst the lowest export occurred in 2012 with 29,129 Mt. In 2019, pepper export from Brazil was reported at 84,676 Mt, an increase by 17% as opposed to the previous year. Furthermore, as of February 2020, pepper export from Brazil was reported at 15,922 Mt which comprised of 15,285 Mt of black pepper and 637 Mt of white pepper, thus, recording a decrease of 8% as compared to the same period in 2019.

The number of pepper exports from Brazil had reportedly fluctuated in the last 14 months. The total export by Brazil in the past 14 months was reported at 100,597 Mt with total value as high as USD 210.4 Million. The average pepper export from Brazil was reported to be 7,186 Mt per month. The highest pepper export of Brazil occurred in October 2019 which reached 11,119 Mt whilst the lowest was reported in July 2019 with 3,046 Mt . The high level of exports during that period (October) correlated closely to Brazil harvest season.

Pepper from Brazil is exported to various countries in Asia, Europe, America and Africa (Table 10). During January 2019-February 2020, the top 10 country of destinations for Brazilian pepper were reported to be Viet Nam with 17,517 Mt (Contributed to 17% of the total pepper export during January 2019-February 2020), Germany with 13,127 Mt (13%), United States of America with 10,294 Mt (10%), Morocco with 7,817 Mt (8%), Egypt with 6,581 Mt (7%), India with 5,791 (6%), Mexico with 4,554 Mt (5%), Pakistan with 4,301 Mt (4%), United Arab Emirates with 3,779 Mt (4%) and France with 3,272 (3%).


Pepper Export Price

Brazil pepper export price had fluctuated significantly in the past three years which could be attributed to the world supply of pepper significantly exceeding the global demand. In 2018, the average pepper export price for Brazil was reported at USD 2,835 per Mt with the highest prices recorded in January with USD 3,509 per Mt whilst the lowest price was reported in November with USD 2,195 per Mt. In 2019, Brazilian average pepper export price was reported at USD 2,148 per Mt, recording a decreased of 24% as compared to 2018. In 2019, the highest average price was reported to have reached USD 2,316 per Mt (July 2019) whilst the lowest average price was reported in November with USD 2,002 per Mt. As of February 2020, the average pepper export price for Brazil was reported at USD 1,940 per Mt, recording a 12% decreased as compared to the same period in 2019


THIS REPORT PUBLISHED BY IPC
Basic information provided by Coreimex and CSG Trade

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#BLACKPEPPER -IPC MARKET REPORT

No. 07/20, 10 - 14 February 2020

MARKET REPORT
Market this week showed a mixed response with a rather negative outlook as only India origin was reported with an increase. In local market, Malabar black pepper was traded with an increase of 1% as compared to the previous week with an average of USD 4,382 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper was reported stable at an average of USD 1,753 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,141 per Mt for white pepper. Malaysian black and white pepper were traded domestically with a 2% and 1% deficit respectively as opposed to the previous week averaging at USD 1,820 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,239 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, the ongoing harvest season in Viet Nam pushed Viet Nam black pepper to be traded with a 2% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 1,597 per Mt. Whilst, Viet Nam white pepper was reported steady with an average of USD 2,410 per Mt. Sri Lanka black pepper was traded with a 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 2, 916 per Mt.
International market followed similar trend in local market as only India recorded an increase. India was reported trading its Malabar black pepper internationally with the same increase of 1% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,662 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper were reported stable with an average of USD 2,174 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,740 per Mt for white pepper. Malaysia black and white pepper continued to be traded stable and unchanged. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper were reported with a greater loss in international market and were traded with a 7%, 6% and 5% deficit respectively when compared to the previous week at an average of USD 1,900 per Mt, USD 2,000 per Mt and USD 3,000 per Mt respectively. The decrease of FOB price in Viet Nam could be contributed to China demand in recent week was static and it has an impact due to Viet Nam was the biggest supplier for China pepper market.
The Lunar New Year holiday which was followed immediately by the devastating outbreak of the Corona Virus have china market in the past 5 weeks were reported inactive as no business took place. Reports coming in from Hainan stating that people remain in their house and refraining from going out.

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Black pepper in Brazil January 17, 2019

This Thursday and Friday a "bunch"of enquiries was arriving for Brazilian Black Pepper, from different buyers (or agents) to different exporters all trying to  get cheap price.

Actually it is unknown the exact number of enquiries because one buyer usually asks 2 or 3 or 4 suppliers. They go to the market and create an illusion of a big demand.


Anyhow bids @1875, 1850 and even 1800 abound. However this fact has a contrary effect -such activity actualy turns the market stronger, with some reliable exporters stepping out waiting how things will evolve next week.
This because beyond new orders, there are exporters that sold short at the end of the year and now try to cover their commitments.


All-in-one this situation signals an uprising trend in  Brazilian Pepper price.
With Vietnam beginning the new Year celebrations a clearer picture might be seen ofter 2 weeks time.
MW

IPC MARKET REPORT No. 01/20, 30 Dec. 2019 - 03 Jan 2020

LOCAL MARKET
Market at the end of 2019 and the beginning of 2020 showed mixed response with only Indonesia and Malaysia origins recorded an increase. In local market, Malabar black pepper was traded with a 1% deficit as compared to the previous week with an average of USD 4,627 per Mt. In local currency, Malabar black pepper was traded at an average of RS 330 per Kg. Indonesia black pepper was reported stable at an average of USD 1,761 per Mt. Whilst, Indonesia white pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 3,091 per Mt. The increase of Indonesia white pepper could be contributed to the increase of the price in local currency which averaging at IDR 43,000 per Kg. Malaysian black and white pepper recorded an increase of 1% respectively at an average of USD 1,860 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,292 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper was reported with a 1% deficit as opposed to the previous week at an average of USD 1,738 per Mt. Whilst, Viet Nam white pepper was reported steady at an average of USD 2,626 per Mt. Sri Lanka black pepper continued to be traded with a deficit and this week by 3% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 3,607 per Mt. China white pepper was reported stable at an average of USD 4,338 per Mt.

INTERNATIONAL MKT
International market showed a rather stable outlook this week with only Indonesia origin recorded an increase. FOB price of India black pepper was reported with the same 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,907 per Mt. Indonesia black pepper was reported steady with an average of USD 2,181 per Mt. Whilst, Indonesia white pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as compared to the previous week with an average of USD 3,680 per Mt. Malaysia black and white pepper continued to be traded stable and unchanged. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper were reported stable and unchanged. In international market China was reported steady with an average of USD 4,438 per Mt.

WHATSAPP +5511988027709
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TRYING TO UNDERSTAND BLACK PEPPER MARKET

A Client asked me today:

" Why Brazilian Black Pepper has been cheaper then Vietnam for such long time ?
I´ve been in the market for 6 years now and I never seen such situation !"

Well, neither I know.
I´ve been trying to understand the reasons but cannot find a reasonable answers for 2 questions:
Why brazilian pepper had been cheaper for all year long, and
Why Pepper price in general decreased that much in the last seasons ?

Average prices for B1 550g black pepper in 2002 were U$D 1,500/ton
Than in 2006/2007 it started to rise to U$D1,800 /U$R 2,000 / U$D 2,250... ended the 2007 quoted at U$D 3,700
After a relatively smooth 2008 and 2009 it climbed to U$D 4,200 at the end of 2010.
Beginning 2011 it went from U$D4,200 to U$D 7,000 and from then it was always quoted in the range ofU$  7 - 8,000, with a peak of U$D 9,000 in 2015.
In the middle of2017 it started to fall ending the year at U$D 3,600 and now is averaging U$D 2,000 - back to 12 years ago !
If inflation is considered, the present price is even lower that the one of 2002.

WHY ??? What happened to pull the prices to such behaviour ?  And what´s is to come now ???

Therefore I invite you to write a guess about these 2 questions and further try to make a preview for the next year or even more extended. Please write to manager@peppertrade.com.br

The answers for these questions will be published on our blog and FB page, and if you desire we´ll mention your name and mail adress.

Let´s see if we find a consensus

Thank you all
Michail Wagapoff

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