IPC MARKET REPORT No. 01/20, 30 Dec. 2019 - 03 Jan 2020

LOCAL MARKET
Market at the end of 2019 and the beginning of 2020 showed mixed response with only Indonesia and Malaysia origins recorded an increase. In local market, Malabar black pepper was traded with a 1% deficit as compared to the previous week with an average of USD 4,627 per Mt. In local currency, Malabar black pepper was traded at an average of RS 330 per Kg. Indonesia black pepper was reported stable at an average of USD 1,761 per Mt. Whilst, Indonesia white pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 3,091 per Mt. The increase of Indonesia white pepper could be contributed to the increase of the price in local currency which averaging at IDR 43,000 per Kg. Malaysian black and white pepper recorded an increase of 1% respectively at an average of USD 1,860 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,292 per Mt for white pepper. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper was reported with a 1% deficit as opposed to the previous week at an average of USD 1,738 per Mt. Whilst, Viet Nam white pepper was reported steady at an average of USD 2,626 per Mt. Sri Lanka black pepper continued to be traded with a deficit and this week by 3% as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 3,607 per Mt. China white pepper was reported stable at an average of USD 4,338 per Mt.

INTERNATIONAL MKT
International market showed a rather stable outlook this week with only Indonesia origin recorded an increase. FOB price of India black pepper was reported with the same 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,907 per Mt. Indonesia black pepper was reported steady with an average of USD 2,181 per Mt. Whilst, Indonesia white pepper was reported with an increase of 2% as compared to the previous week with an average of USD 3,680 per Mt. Malaysia black and white pepper continued to be traded stable and unchanged. Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper were reported stable and unchanged. In international market China was reported steady with an average of USD 4,438 per Mt.

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IPC MARKET REPORT No. 39/19, 23 September - 27 September 2019

LOCAL MARKET

Market this week showed mixed response as only India with an increase. In local market, Malabar black pepper was reported with an increase by 1% as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 4,582 per Mt. Indonesia black and white pepper were reported to be traded stable with an average of USD 1,804 per Mt and USD 3,325 per Mt respectively.
Malaysian black and white pepper were reported with a 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 2,025 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,550 per Mt for white pepper.
Furthermore, Viet Nam black and white pepper were also reported with a decrease by 1% and 6% respectively as compared to the previous week averaging at USD 1,765 per Mt for black pepper and USD 2,669 per Mt for white pepper. The significant decrease in price of white pepper in Viet Nam was contributed to the decreasing in average price of Viet Nam white pepper in the local currency with an average of VND 63,500 per Kg from VND 67,500 per Kg in the previous we ek or a decrease by VND 4,000 per Kg.
Sri Lanka black pepper was reported with a 1% deficit as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 2,377 per Mt. Whilst,
China white pepper was reported to be traded with an average of USD 4,645 per Mt.


INTERNATIONAL MARKET
In international market, FOB prices of most origin were reported stable with only India reported an increase.
FOB price of India black pepper was reported with the same 1% increase as compared to the previous week at an average of USD 4,864 per Mt.
Indonesia black and white pepper were reported steady averaging at USD 2,227 per Mt for black pepper and USD 3,938 per Mt for white pepper.
Malaysia black and white pepper continued to be traded stable and unchanged.
Furthermore, Viet Nam black pepper 500 g/l, 550 g/l and Viet Nam white pepper were also reported stable.
China traded its white pepper in the international level with an average of USD 4,845 per Mt. 








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REPORT ABOUT PRESENT BLACK PEPPER MARKET & TRENDS

IN THE LAST DAYS RE GOT TO KNOW SOME REPORTS ABOUT BLACK PEPPER MARKET.

INTERESTING READING FOR THE ONES OPERATING IN THIS TRADE.

Vietnam – Although fresh demand from the world market is missing, prices are holding steady to firm.
A record quantity has been exported: March (37,000 tons), April (36,000 tons) and May
(37,000 tons) bringing a total volume to approximately 143,000 tons till May 2019;
36% more exports than 2018 in similar period.

We have not observed such stunning export figures in our 26 years of trading history. Knowing 8 more months to new crop,
farmers and dealers are now in a comfortable position to hold remaining quantities without panic. This is very much evident from arrival of goods and gradual rise in raw pepper prices.  

Their comfort level will increase more once 60-70% of crop is out of Vietnam.
In May, raw prices remained between 44000 to 46000 dong/kg.
China keep supporting the pepper market and their pepper imports have risen to 70% from 2018 followed by USA and India to 27% and 10% respectively.

Buyers keep pushing for lower prices. We have not seen very aggressive offers for future shipments as all of them feel more risk than reward.
Destination markets need to consume extra volume imported during last 3 months.
Not to forget that combined Middle East and Asia has become one of the largest pepper
consumer market in recent years and their constant support to origin keep prices steady.

Limited numbers of orders in hand with exporters do indicate that coverage for second half is yet to come.
Low pepper prices and higher maintenance cost are pushing few farmers to cut trees and plant some other commodities.
Farmers in Chu Puh and Chu Sê districts—two key pepper growing areas who had invested for a dozen of pillars that covered one hectare are now selling the same number of pillars in lower cost as many of them have gone bankrupt.
Add to pot, young trees are also dying due to poor care of farmers, poor maintenance of current
vines and virtually no new plantation, crop size will reduce gradually while world consumption in general increases by 3-4% annually.
Expect volatile days in 2020 and beyond.
Imports to India via Nepal may halt due to 100% additional duty (from 10-20%) has been imposed recently in their annual budget presented in end May.

Indonesia – No bad news so far. Expecting similar or slightly better crop than 2018. However, no selling pressure or any aggressive pricing from numbered top-class shippers.

Brazil – It is interesting to note that for the first time, Brazil is not discounting to Vietnam prices. In fact, quotes from Brazil are now in line with Vietnam. This firmness is attributed to strong currency and depleted inventories.
Brazil too have exported large volume in the last 5 months (approx. 40,000 tons).
Their new crop from Para region to start in August – September.
We have not seen any selling pressure yet. First class shippers prefer to stay away from sharp bids.
If Vietnam continues to be firm, world demand may shift to Brazil which may help Brazil to stabilize further.
In general, there is resistance at low prices.
Demand from Europe has slowed down due to the new import regulation on salmonella and at the same time volume from Vietnam has increased considerably for European ports.

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